Background
While studies have suggested standard therapy for clinical T2N0 esophageal cancer should be primary surgery, we hypothesize there is a subgroup for whom induction therapy may result in improved overall survival (OS).
Methods
cT2N0 esophageal cancer patients receiving induction therapy or upfront esophagectomy (UE) were identified in the National Cancer Data Base (NCDB). UE patients were dichotomized as 1) pathologically upstaged or 2) same-or down-staged. Logistic regression models identified variables associated with upstaging and Kaplan-Meier analysis compared median OS.
Results
From 2006–2012, 932 (52.2%) cT2N0 patients received UE, while 853 (47.8%) received induction therapy first. 326/713 (45.7%) UE patients were upstaged. 87/326 (26.7%) patients had T upstaging, 98/326 (30.1%) had N upstaging, and 141/326 (43.3%) had both. Patients upstaged after UE had a higher tumor grade (35.1% versus 57.1% Grade 3), and a higher rate of lymphovascular invasion (LVI, 57.1% versus 17.7%), both p<0.001. Variables associated with upstaging included LVI (OR 6.0, 95% CI 2.9 – 12.5, p<0.001) and tumor grade 3 (OR 9.4, 1.8 – 48.4, p=0.007). Of upstaged UE patients, only 144 (44.2%) received adjuvant therapy. The median OS for cT2N0 patients upstaged after UE was 27.5 ± 2.5 months versus 43.9 ± 2.9 months for induction therapy patients (any resultant pathologic stage, p<0.001).
Conclusions
Half of all cT2N0 patients were pathologically upstaged after UE with worse survival compared to patients receiving induction therapy. Refining an upstaging model would help select patients for induction therapy and increase the rate of chemotherapy in patients at risk for systemic disease.