Simulation Analysis of Economic Damages and Recovery after a Mount Fuji Eruption: Using a Dynamic Input-Output Model and Hypothetical Scenarios

Shibusawa, Hiroyuki; TATEKAWA, Riki; CUI, Mingji

doi:10.2457/srs.52.255

Chiikigaku Kenkyu (Studies in Regional Science)

2022

DOI: 10.2457/srs.52.255

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Simulation Analysis of Economic Damages and Recovery after a Mount Fuji Eruption: Using a Dynamic Input-Output Model and Hypothetical Scenarios

Hiroyuki Shibusawa

Riki TATEKAWA

Mingji CUI

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2024

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Simulation analysis of the damage and recovery process in natural disasters: a case study of high-speed railways in Sichuan Province, China

Wu,

Ishiro

2024

Economic Structures

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This study employs a dynamic input–output model to simulate the recovery process of a high-speed railway and the subsequent regional economic recovery following an earthquake. The analysis considers the impact of earthquakes of varying magnitudes on Sichuan Province, its neighboring areas, and the entire nation of China. The simulation is conducted against the backdrop of the restoration and reconstruction efforts in Sichuan Province post-earthquake. The findings reveal that the recovery speed of the high-speed railway transportation sector is influenced not only by the established recovery time, but also by the pace of recovery in adjacent industrial sectors and external inputs. Accelerated recovery in adjacent industrial sectors contributes to a faster recovery of the high-speed railway transportation sector. Furthermore, once the adjacent industrial sectors return to normal levels of recovery, the high-speed railway transportation sector follows suit, reaching the established recovery rate. In terms of regional economic recovery, provinces with smaller economies experience higher rates of economic reduction due to earthquakes. Conversely, provinces with a significant proportion of high-speed railways in their economies witness higher rates of economic reduction following seismic events. The insights derived from this study hold practical significance for guiding regional economic and transportation recovery and reconstruction efforts post-major earthquakes.

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Simulation analysis of the damage and recovery process in natural disasters: a case study of high-speed railways in Sichuan Province, China

Wu,

Ishiro

2024

Economic Structures

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

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Simulation Analysis of Economic Damages and Recovery after a Mount Fuji Eruption: Using a Dynamic Input-Output Model and Hypothetical Scenarios

Cited by 1 publication

References 10 publications

Simulation analysis of the damage and recovery process in natural disasters: a case study of high-speed railways in Sichuan Province, China

Simulation analysis of the damage and recovery process in natural disasters: a case study of high-speed railways in Sichuan Province, China

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