Stringent controls have reduced U.S. SO2 emissions by over 60% since the late 1990s. These controls have been more effective at reducing surface
[]SO42â in summer (June, July, and August) than in winter (December, January, and February (DJF)), a seasonal contrast that is not robustly captured by Climate Model Intercomparison Project 5 global models. We use the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory AM3 chemistryâclimate model to show that oxidant limitation during winter causes
[]SO42â (DJF) to be sensitive to primary
SO42â emissions, inâcloud titration of H2O2, and inâcloud oxidation by O3. The observed contrast in the seasonal response of
[]SO42â to decreasing SO2 emissions is best explained by the O3 reaction, whose rate coefficient has increased over the past decades as a result of increasing NH3 emissions and decreasing SO2 emissions, both of which lower cloud water acidity. The fraction of SO2 oxidized to
SO42â is projected to keep increasing in future decades, delaying improvements in wintertime air quality.