Simultaneous optimization of evacuation route and departure time based on link-congestion mitigation

Huang, Zhengfeng; Zheng, Pengjun; Ren, Gang; Cheng, Yang

doi:10.1007/s11069-016-2336-7

Cited by 2 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…Evacuation management requires decision support that can be generated from predominantly spatial information [57]. Information that can be generated from this simulation includes (1) spatial distribution of human exposure that is valuable in analysing volcanic risk to people and providing effective evacuation strategy [149][150][151]; (2) information related to the volcanic disaster outcome in various scenarios, which is valuable in providing adjustable evacuation planning for changing hazard scenarios [121]; (3) information on route density analysis that can be used in managing evacuation routes to avoid high congestion, which may hold up the evacuation processes [72,152,153]; (4) information about variation in evacuation destination preferences provided by the evacuee distribution model that might produce a range of distribution scenarios concerning evacuees, this being information helpful in supporting shelter provision, logistical support, services and commodity-needs planning [154]; and finally, (5) clearance time analysis in various scenarios, which is a vital parameter in defining the effectiveness of evacuation processes and thus providing information essential for the decision maker [155].…”

Section: Potential Use Of the Model To Support Evacuation Managementmentioning

confidence: 99%

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A Conceptual Design of Spatio-Temporal Agent-Based Model for Volcanic Evacuation

Jumadi

Carver

Quincey

2017

Systems

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The understanding of evacuation processes is important for improving the effectiveness of evacuation plans in the event of volcanic disasters. In terms of social processes, the enactment of evacuations in volcanic crises depends on the variability of individual/household responses. This variability of population response is related to the uncertainty and unpredictability of the hazard characteristics of volcanoes-specifically, the exact moment at which the eruption occurs (temporal), the magnitude of the eruption and which locations are impacted (spatial). In order to provide enhanced evacuation planning, it is important to recognise the potential problems that emerge during evacuation processes due to such variability. Evacuation simulations are one approach to understanding these processes. However, experimenting with volcanic evacuations in the real world is risky and challenging, and so an agent-based model is proposed to simulate volcanic evacuation. This paper highlights the literature gap for this topic and provides the conceptual design for a simulation using an agent-based model. As an implementation, an initial evacuation model is presented for Mount Merapi in Indonesia, together with potential applications of the model for supporting volcanic evacuation management, discussion of the initial outcomes and suggestions for future work.

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Section: Potential Use Of the Model To Support Evacuation Managementmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Evacuation routing is another important aspect of evacuation modelling, especially for a large-scale evacuation that potentially produces congestion [72,152,153]. Here, 1000 human agents were selected randomly and their movements tracked consistently.…”

Section: Route Density Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%