Socio-Hygienic Monitoring and Information Analysis Systems Supporting the Health Risk Assessment and Management and a Risk-Focused Model of Supervisory Activities in the Sphere of Securing Sanitary and Epidemiologic Public Welfare

Кузьмин, С В; Gurvich, Vladimir B.; Dikonskaya, O.V.; Nikonov, B I; Малых, О. Л.; Yarushin, Sergey V.; Kuzmina, E. A.; Кочнева, Н И; Корнилков, А. С.

doi:10.18821/0016-9900-2017-96-12-1130-1136

“…Применяемые методики измерения примесей в атмосферном воздухе, воздухе закрытых помещений, питьевых водах, почвах, пищевых продуктах обеспечивают контроль на уровнях референтных концентраций, гарантирующих безопасность человека. Развивается система биологического мониторинга [29][30][31].…”

unclassified

Priorities in scientific support provided for hygienic activities accomplished by a sanitary and epidemiologic service: how to face known threats and new chnallanges

Popova¹,

Kuzmin²,

Zaitseva³

et al. 2021

Health Risk Analysis

0

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Scientific support provided for activities accomplished by the Federal Service for Surveillance over Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-being is considered to be a most significant tool for raising productivity and efficiency of the system functioning. A concept on scientific support provided for Rospotrebnadzor’s organs and authorities in 2021–2025 focuses on creating an integral, coordinated, efficient, stable, and adaptive system of scientific support provided for activities aimed at securing sanitary-epidemiologic welfare of the population. A peculiar feature of this concept for 2021–2025 is an emphasis on science-intensive analysis technologies and predictions based on digital informational and analytical support provided for strategic and operative decisions on minimizing risks and damage to population health. Another emphasis is on significance of fundamental hygienic research. The concept sets the tasks to develop scientific grounds for cellular and sub-cellular technologies applied to diagnose health disorders under exposure to occupational and environmental factors as well as lifestyle-related ones. It is necessary to create a personified medical and preventive platform for preserving life and health; the platform should be based on risk assessing, monitoring and prediction, mathematical modeling of processes occurring in a body, and the latest data on physiology and toxicology. The Concept also covers issues related to developing innovative technologies for preventing and rehabilitating diseases associated with environmental and occupational factors basing on science-intensive cross-disciplinary studies and the most up-to-date hardware and software complexes. More enhanced hygienic and epidemiologic research is an extremely important and promising vector in scientific development. The Concept outlines the necessity to promptly make new technologies available to experts who are responsible for control, surveillance, inspections, licensing, and other activities within Rospotrebnadzor system. The Concept on scientific support is being implemented via «Scientific substantiation for the national system for providing sanitary-epidemiologic welfare, health risk management, and raising life quality of the RF population», a specialized scientific-research program for 2021–2025. More than 80% resources allocated within the specialized program will be assigned for solving the most vital tasks and preventing future threats. Finding solutions to major strategic tasks set by the Concept and the specialized scientific program will allow achieving greater contributions made by organs and authorities of the sanitary-epidemiologic service into scientific, technological, and socioeconomic development of the country including a contribution into developing and implementing competitive scientific-technical products.

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“…Existing procedures for measuring admixtures in ambient air, air inside buildings, drinking water, soils, and food products, allow performing control over them in their reference concentrations that guarantee safety of the environment for people. Biological monitoring is also being developed at the moment [29][30][31].…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Priorities in scientific support provided for hygienic activities accomplished by a sanitary and epidemiologic service: how to face known threats and new chnallanges

Popova¹,

Кузьмин²,

Zaitseva³

et al. 2021

Health Risk Analysis

10

0

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Scientific support provided for activities accomplished by the Federal Service for Surveillance over Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-being is considered to be a most significant tool for raising productivity and efficiency of the system functioning. A concept on scientific support provided for Rospotrebnadzor’s organs and authorities in 2021–2025 focuses on creating an integral, coordinated, efficient, stable, and adaptive system of scientific support provided for activities aimed at securing sanitary-epidemiologic welfare of the population. A peculiar feature of this concept for 2021–2025 is an emphasis on science-intensive analysis technologies and predictions based on digital informational and analytical support provided for strategic and operative decisions on minimizing risks and damage to population health. Another emphasis is on significance of fundamental hygienic research. The concept sets the tasks to develop scientific grounds for cellular and sub-cellular technologies applied to diagnose health disorders under exposure to occupational and environmental factors as well as lifestyle-related ones. It is necessary to create a personified medical and preventive platform for preserving life and health; the platform should be based on risk assessing, monitoring and prediction, mathematical modeling of processes occurring in a body, and the latest data on physiology and toxicology. The Concept also covers issues related to developing innovative technologies for preventing and rehabilitating diseases associated with environmental and occupational factors basing on science-intensive cross-disciplinary studies and the most up-to-date hardware and software complexes. More enhanced hygienic and epidemiologic research is an extremely important and promising vector in scientific development. The Concept outlines the necessity to promptly make new technologies available to experts who are responsible for control, surveillance, inspections, licensing, and other activities within Rospotrebnadzor system. The Concept on scientific support is being implemented via «Scientific substantiation for the national system for providing sanitary-epidemiologic welfare, health risk management, and raising life quality of the RF population», a specialized scientific-research program for 2021–2025. More than 80% resources allocated within the specialized program will be assigned for solving the most vital tasks and preventing future threats. Finding solutions to major strategic tasks set by the Concept and the specialized scientific program will allow achieving greater contributions made by organs and authorities of the sanitary-epidemiologic service into scientific, technological, and socioeconomic development of the country including a contribution into developing and implementing competitive scientific-technical products.

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“…В качестве научной основы организации и ведения СГМ рассматривается количественная характеристика причинно-следственных связей в системе «среда обитания -здоровье населения» с выходом на прогноз состояния здоровья населения, формируемого в условиях воздействия комплекса экологических, медико-биологических и социально-экономических факторов. Успешное решение поставленных задач диктует необходимость дальнейшего совершенствования методического, кадрового, информационно-аналитического и аппаратно-программного обеспечения; существенного расширения региональных и федерального информационных фондов СГМ [3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10]. Это нашло свое отражение в концепции научного обеспечения деятельности Роспотребнадзора на 2021-2025 гг., предусматривающей внедрение и развитие наукоемких технологий аналитических исследований, методов моделирования и прогнозирования ситуаций, основанных на цифровой информационной поддержке оптимизационных управленческих решений в целях оценки, динамического наблюдения с выходом на прогноз и минимизации рисков здоровью населения [11].…”

unclassified

Neural Networks for the Tasks of Analytical Support of Public Health and Environment Monitoring Systems

Marchenko¹,

Plugotarenko²,

Semina³

2021

PH&LE

2

0

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Introduction: Ensuring a further improvement of efficiency of the public health monitoring system requires integration of the modern health risk analysis methodology with a complex of adapted unified traditional and innovative analytical methods and data exchange with the environmental monitoring system. Objectives: The study aimed to test and assess the accuracy of predicting the incidence of malignant neoplasms using an artificial neural network. Materials and methods: The analyzed time series are presented by information from statistical reporting forms on malignant neoplasms in the city of Taganrog, Rostov Region. We applied a regression model and a forecasting modeling technique based on a feedforward artificial neural network of a multilayer perceptron type. An artificial neural network with 117 neurons in a hidden layer was created in the environment of the Matlab R2021a application package with a set of tools for the synthesis and analysis of neural networks Neural Network Toolbox using the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm for its learning. Results: Approbation of two forecasting models was carried out on learning samples of different duration including 15 and 34 years. In a comparative assessment of the accuracy of forecasts for 2018 and 2019, absolute and relative errors were estimated. The accuracy of the neural network forecasting model was higher than that of the regression model both for the total of malignant neoplasms and for most cancer sites. The absolute errors of forecasts for 2018 when using regression and neural network models were 17.05 and 1.49 per 100,000 population, for 2019 – 39.07 and 4.42, respectively. The prediction accuracy dropped with a decrease in the time series duration and an increase in the distance from the boundaries of the learning sample. Conclusions: The feedforward artificial neural network of the multilayer perceptron type provides more accurate predictions using minimal input information compared to the regression model, which is its undoubted advantage.

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Socio-Hygienic Monitoring and Information Analysis Systems Supporting the Health Risk Assessment and Management and a Risk-Focused Model of Supervisory Activities in the Sphere of Securing Sanitary and Epidemiologic Public Welfare

Cited by 23 publications

References 1 publication

Priorities in scientific support provided for hygienic activities accomplished by a sanitary and epidemiologic service: how to face known threats and new chnallanges

Priorities in scientific support provided for hygienic activities accomplished by a sanitary and epidemiologic service: how to face known threats and new chnallanges

Priorities in scientific support provided for hygienic activities accomplished by a sanitary and epidemiologic service: how to face known threats and new chnallanges

Neural Networks for the Tasks of Analytical Support of Public Health and Environment Monitoring Systems

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