We report two experiments on temporal reasoning with problems, such as:John has cleaned the house. John is taking a shower. John is going to read the paper. Mary always does the dishes when John cleans the house. Mary always drinks her coffee when John reads the paper. What for Mary is the relation between doing the dishes and drinking coffee?The experiments showed that problems such as this one, which require one mental model, elicited correct answers more often than did those requiring multiple models (e.g. with the second premise modified to "John has taken a shower", so that the order between the events in the first two premises is not fixed). These multiple-model problems, in turn, elicited more correct answers than did multiple-model problems with no valid answers (e.g. with the second premise modified to "John has taken a shower", and the fifth premise modified to "Mary always drinks her coffee when John takes a shower"). One-model problems were also solved more quickly than multiple-model problems, which were solved more quickly than problems with no valid answers. These results corroborated the predictions of the mental model theory of reasoning.
INTRODUCTIONReasoning about temporal relations is an important aspect of everyday thinking. If you know the following facts:Requests for reprints should be sent to Walter Schaeken, Laboratory of Experimental Psychology, Department of Psychology, Tiensestraat 102, B-3000 Leuven, Belgium.We thank Andreas de Troy for implementing the program used to carry out the Experiment. The children became ill after going to the cinema. They ate seafood before they went to the cinema. then you can infer:The children became ill after they ate seafood.Although logicians have devised various "temporal logics", and linguists have investigated many aspects of temporal language, the topic of temporal reasoning has been strangely neglected by psychologists. They have studied the perception of time (e.g. Fraisse, 1963), how children conceive of time (e.g. Piaget, 1969), but they have carried out few studies, if any, of how individuals reason on the basis of temporal relations.Following McTaggart (1927; see Miller & Johnson-Laird, 1976, Sec.6.2), we distinguish two ways of thinking about (and describing) temporal order. First, an event can be past, present, or future (McTaggart's A-series). Second, one event can be earlier or later than another (McTaggart's B-series). Any relation described in terms of the A-series can be described in terms of the Bseries, but the converse is not true. We have previously made an experimental investigation of how subjects reason on the basis of B-series relations, i.e. temporal connectives, such as "before", "after", and "while". The experiments were carried out in Flemish, which has connectives that correspond to these English terms (see Schaeken, Johnson-Laird, & d'Ydewalle, in press). They were designed to test the predictions of the theory of reasoning based on mental models (see e.g. Johnson-Laird, 1983;Johnson-Laird & Byrne, 1991). The subjects i...