Objective
To compare the diagnostic potential of ultrasonographic markers of ovarian morphology, used alone or in combination, to predict PCOS.
Design
A diagnostic test study using cross-sectional data collected from 2006 to 2011.
Setting
Academic hospital and clinical research unit.
Participants
82 women with PCOS and 60 healthy female volunteers.
Interventions
None.
Main Outcome Measures
Follicle number per ovary (FNPO), ovarian volume (OV), follicle number per single cross-section (FNPS), follicle distribution pattern, stromal area, ovarian area, stromal to ovarian area ratio (S:A) and stromal index (SI).
Results
FNPO best predicted PCOS (R2=67%) with 85% sensitivity and 98% specificity, followed by OV (R2=44%), and FNPS (R2=36%). Neither S:AnorSI had predictive power for PCOS. In combination, FNPO+S:A and FNPO+SI most significantly predicted PCOS (R2=74% vs.73%, respectively). The diagnostic potentials of OV and FNPS were substantially improved when used in combination (OV+FNPO,R2=55%).
Conclusions
As a single metric, FNPO best predicted PCOS. While the addition of S:Aor SI improved the predictive power of FNPO, gains were marginal suggesting limited use in clinical practice. When image quality precludes a reliable estimation of FNPO, measurements of OV+FNPS provide the next closest level of diagnostic potential.