Abstract:A model of the seismic source of the October 9, 1995 Jalisco-Colima tsunami is obtained using the numerical modeling of the tsunami by considering an earthquake (Mw~8.0) with rupture area A = 9000 km 2 , L = 150 km, W = 60 km, with two different coseismic dislocation km along the fault plane starting from its NW edge, offshore Chalacatepec and Chamela, and 3 m the dislocation of the next 90 km; offshore Tenacatita, Navidad and Manzanillo. As expected, the seismic source obtained in of the seismic source obtain… Show more
“…The mean and the upper and lower 16th percentiles of the simulated tsunami heights with and without the uncertainty of the scaling relationships (red solid and dashed line) are shown in the figure. These results are also compared with the hindcast simulation of the 1995 Colima Earthquake Tsunami (blue solid line) and observed run-up heights (dots) by Trejo-Gómez et al (2015). The past tsunami height profile of the 1995 Colima Earthquake shows that the wave heights for sites 1-100 are higher than others, which are consistent with the source model by Mendoza and Hartzell (1999), having large asperities in the north-western segment of its fault plane.…”
Section: Sensitivity Of Tsunami Simulated Heightssupporting
confidence: 79%
“…To demonstrate the stochastic tsunami simulation model for the Guerrero region, the 1995 Colima Earthquake is considered, which is one of the most major tsunami events in the northern part of the Guerrero region. More specifically, the selection of the 1995 Colima Earthquake is relevant because the size of the earthquake (Mw 8.0) is sufficiently large to cause tsunami waves and post-event tsunami survey data (e.g., Borerro et al, 1997;Trejo-Gómez et al, 2015) as well as an inverted slip model (Mendoza and Hartzell, 1999) are available for this event. Our aim in setting up the case study is to compare the results of stochastic tsunami simulations with the past survey data of the 1995 Colima Earthquake.…”
This study develops a novel computational framework to carry out probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment for the Pacific coast of Mexico. The new approach enables the consideration of stochastic tsunami source scenarios having variable fault geometry and heterogeneous slip that are constrained by an extensive database of rupture models for historical earthquakes around the world. The assessment focuses upon the 1995 Jalisco-Colima Earthquake Tsunami from a retrospective viewpoint. Numerous source scenarios of large subduction earthquakes are generated to assess the sensitivity and variability of tsunami inundation characteristics of the target region. Analyses of nine slip models along the Mexican Pacific coast are performed, and statistical characteristics of slips (e.g., coherent structures of slip spectra) are estimated. The source variability allows exploring a wide range of tsunami scenarios for a moment magnitude (Mw) 8 subduction earthquake in the Mexican Pacific region to conduct thorough sensitivity analyses and to quantify the tsunami height variability. The numerical results indicate a strong sensitivity of maximum tsunami height to major slip locations in the source and indicate major uncertainty at the first peak of tsunami waves.
“…The mean and the upper and lower 16th percentiles of the simulated tsunami heights with and without the uncertainty of the scaling relationships (red solid and dashed line) are shown in the figure. These results are also compared with the hindcast simulation of the 1995 Colima Earthquake Tsunami (blue solid line) and observed run-up heights (dots) by Trejo-Gómez et al (2015). The past tsunami height profile of the 1995 Colima Earthquake shows that the wave heights for sites 1-100 are higher than others, which are consistent with the source model by Mendoza and Hartzell (1999), having large asperities in the north-western segment of its fault plane.…”
Section: Sensitivity Of Tsunami Simulated Heightssupporting
confidence: 79%
“…To demonstrate the stochastic tsunami simulation model for the Guerrero region, the 1995 Colima Earthquake is considered, which is one of the most major tsunami events in the northern part of the Guerrero region. More specifically, the selection of the 1995 Colima Earthquake is relevant because the size of the earthquake (Mw 8.0) is sufficiently large to cause tsunami waves and post-event tsunami survey data (e.g., Borerro et al, 1997;Trejo-Gómez et al, 2015) as well as an inverted slip model (Mendoza and Hartzell, 1999) are available for this event. Our aim in setting up the case study is to compare the results of stochastic tsunami simulations with the past survey data of the 1995 Colima Earthquake.…”
This study develops a novel computational framework to carry out probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment for the Pacific coast of Mexico. The new approach enables the consideration of stochastic tsunami source scenarios having variable fault geometry and heterogeneous slip that are constrained by an extensive database of rupture models for historical earthquakes around the world. The assessment focuses upon the 1995 Jalisco-Colima Earthquake Tsunami from a retrospective viewpoint. Numerous source scenarios of large subduction earthquakes are generated to assess the sensitivity and variability of tsunami inundation characteristics of the target region. Analyses of nine slip models along the Mexican Pacific coast are performed, and statistical characteristics of slips (e.g., coherent structures of slip spectra) are estimated. The source variability allows exploring a wide range of tsunami scenarios for a moment magnitude (Mw) 8 subduction earthquake in the Mexican Pacific region to conduct thorough sensitivity analyses and to quantify the tsunami height variability. The numerical results indicate a strong sensitivity of maximum tsunami height to major slip locations in the source and indicate major uncertainty at the first peak of tsunami waves.
“…In particular, the adjoining Jalisco and Michoacán states of Mexico far south of Baja California Sur are bordered by an active subduction zone resulting from compression between the Rivera lithospheric plate and the continental mainland. Among the historical events recorded for this region, the 22 June 1932 earthquake (magnitude 7.7) was one of the region's most destructive affecting an area 1 km inland along a 20-km stretch of coast with a run-up of 15 m [20]. In contrast, the Gulf of California has no historical record of tsunami events, although shallow earthquakes are relatively common due to transtensional tectonics associated with activity along multiple strike-slip faults that dissect narrow sea-floor spreading zones [5].…”
This work advances research on the role of hurricanes in degrading the rocky coastline within Mexico’s Gulf of California, most commonly formed by widespread igneous rocks. Under evaluation is a distinct coastal boulder bed (CBB) derived from banded rhyolite with boulders arrayed in a partial-ring configuration against one side of the headland on Ensenada Almeja (Clam Bay) north of Loreto. Preconditions related to the thickness of rhyolite flows and vertical fissures that intersect the flows at right angles along with the specific gravity of banded rhyolite delimit the size, shape and weight of boulders in the Almeja CBB. Mathematical formulae are applied to calculate the wave height generated by storm surge impacting the headland. The average weight of the 25 largest boulders from a transect nearest the bedrock source amounts to 1200 kg but only 30% of the sample is estimated to exceed a full metric ton in weight. The wave height calculated to move those boulders is close to 8 m. Additional localities with CBBs composed of layered rock types such as basalt and andesite are proposed for future studies within the Gulf of California. Comparisons with selected CBBs in other parts of the world are made.
“…Based Figure 5c) relates to a kitchen midden and not a tsunami deposit. Tsunami events are well documented outside the Gulf of California far to the south on the Mexican mainland at Jalisco [26], but such events result from deep-seated earthquakes (magnitude 7.7 or greater) associated with an active subduction zone where the Rivera lithospheric plate meets the continental mainland.…”
Section: Energy Sources Affecting Barrier Developmentmentioning
Previous studies on the role of hurricanes in Mexico’s Gulf of California examined coastal boulder deposits (CBDs) eroded from limestone and rhyolite sea cliffs. Sedimentary and volcanic in origin, these lithotypes are less extensively expressed as rocky shores than others in the overall distribution of gulf shores. Andesite that accumulated as serial volcanic flows during the Miocene constitutes by far the region’s most pervasive rocky shores. Here, we define a subgroup of structures called barrier boulder deposits (BBDs) that close off lagoons as a result of lateral transport from adjacent rocky shores subject to recurrent storm erosion. Hidden Harbor (Puerto Escondido) is the most famous natural harbor in all of Baja California. Accessed from a single narrow entrance, it is commodious in size (2.3 km2) and fully sheltered by outer andesite hills linked by two natural barriers. The average weight of embedded boulders in a succession of six samples tallied over a combined distance of 710 m ranges between 74 and 197 kg calculated on the basis of boulder volume and the specific gravity of andesite. A mathematical formula is utilized to estimate the wave height necessary to transport large boulders from their source. Average wave height interpreted by this method varies between 4.1 and 4.6 m. Input from fossil deposits and physical geology related to fault trends is applied to reconstruct coastal evolution from a more open coastal scenario during the Late Pleistocene 125,000 years ago to lagoon closure in Holocene time.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.