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Recent natural disasters, such as Hurricane Katrina in 2005 and the 2011 Great East Japan earthquake, have demonstrated that situational awareness, the focus of much research in disaster management, is not sufficient to provide effective mitigation, response, and recovery. The United States government has recognized the need for decision support to enhance the cognitive abilities of decision makers. Developing such tools is particularly challenging because they require modeling complex interdependent infrastructure systems and must operate under aggressive runtime constraints.This thesis demonstrates that hybrid optimization technology can produce decision support tools for delivery of relief supplies, restoration of the electrical power infrastructure alone, and joint restoration of interdependent natural gas and electrical power infrastructures. These hybrid methods use mixed integer programming for infrastructure modeling, large neighborhood search for routing of repair crews, and randomized adaptive decomposition for scaling the optimization algorithms to practical sizes. The proposed hybrid methods increase the restoration quality significantly over current field practices and outperform traditional technologies, which cannot find feasible solutions within the runtime constraints.The optimization algorithms must rely on linear approximations of the nonlinear AC power flow equations to meet the runtime constraints of these applications. Unfortunately, the accuracy of the traditional linearized DC model degrades significantly as network disruptions increase. This thesis also proposes novel linear approximations that are shown to provide significant improvements in accuracy under disruptions.
Recent natural disasters, such as Hurricane Katrina in 2005 and the 2011 Great East Japan earthquake, have demonstrated that situational awareness, the focus of much research in disaster management, is not sufficient to provide effective mitigation, response, and recovery. The United States government has recognized the need for decision support to enhance the cognitive abilities of decision makers. Developing such tools is particularly challenging because they require modeling complex interdependent infrastructure systems and must operate under aggressive runtime constraints.This thesis demonstrates that hybrid optimization technology can produce decision support tools for delivery of relief supplies, restoration of the electrical power infrastructure alone, and joint restoration of interdependent natural gas and electrical power infrastructures. These hybrid methods use mixed integer programming for infrastructure modeling, large neighborhood search for routing of repair crews, and randomized adaptive decomposition for scaling the optimization algorithms to practical sizes. The proposed hybrid methods increase the restoration quality significantly over current field practices and outperform traditional technologies, which cannot find feasible solutions within the runtime constraints.The optimization algorithms must rely on linear approximations of the nonlinear AC power flow equations to meet the runtime constraints of these applications. Unfortunately, the accuracy of the traditional linearized DC model degrades significantly as network disruptions increase. This thesis also proposes novel linear approximations that are shown to provide significant improvements in accuracy under disruptions.
The occurrence of large-scale crises is a great challenge for people. In such cases, many levels of public life are affected and recovery takes time and considerable resources. Therefore, approaches and tools for predicting and preventing crises, as well as models and methods for crisis management and crisis overcoming, are necessary. In this review, we present approaches, models, and methods that support decision-making in relation to the prevention and resolution of large-scale crises. We divide crises into three types: natural disasters, pandemics, and economic crises. For each type of crisis situation, the types of applied tasks that are solved and the corresponding models and methods that are used to support decision-makers in overcoming the crises are discussed. Conclusions are drawn on the state of the art in this area and some directions for future work are outlined.
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