2014
DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.13-0733
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Spatial and Temporal Emergence Pattern of Lyme Disease in Virginia

Abstract: Abstract. The emergence of infectious diseases over the past several decades has highlighted the need to better understand epidemics and prepare for the spread of diseases into new areas. As these diseases expand their geographic range, cases are recorded at different geographic locations over time, making the analysis and prediction of this expansion complicated. In this study, we analyze spatial patterns of the disease using a statistical smoothing analysis based on areal (census tract level) count data of L… Show more

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Cited by 28 publications
(26 citation statements)
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“…Virginia has recently experienced a rapid expansion of Lyme disease with a quintupling of cases from 2004 to 2011 (Figure 1), and a spread in case distribution from the densely populated northern part of the state toward the more rural southwestern corner, as illustrated in Figure 2 Correspondence to: Sara E. Seukep, e-mail: sdymond@vt.edu EcoHealth DOI: 10.1007DOI: 10. /s10393-015-1034 Original Contribution Ó 2015 International Association for Ecology and Health Kelly et al 2014;Li et al 2014). Using Virginia as a model for examining the continued emergence of Lyme disease, we seek to identify potential contributing factors for its emergence in underlying human and ecological variables.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Virginia has recently experienced a rapid expansion of Lyme disease with a quintupling of cases from 2004 to 2011 (Figure 1), and a spread in case distribution from the densely populated northern part of the state toward the more rural southwestern corner, as illustrated in Figure 2 Correspondence to: Sara E. Seukep, e-mail: sdymond@vt.edu EcoHealth DOI: 10.1007DOI: 10. /s10393-015-1034 Original Contribution Ó 2015 International Association for Ecology and Health Kelly et al 2014;Li et al 2014). Using Virginia as a model for examining the continued emergence of Lyme disease, we seek to identify potential contributing factors for its emergence in underlying human and ecological variables.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Duczma [ 68 ] implemented the scan statistic to study Chagas’ disease in Brazil, while [ 69 ] do the same for end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in northen France. In Virginia, the increasing burden of Lyme disease was documented using spatiotemporal scan statistics [ 70 ]. In all cases, studies were able to identify areas with more cases than expected, highlighting in many cases the relevance of regions that did not present a comparatively higher incidence.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…There is no standardized approach that considers where and when vector surveillance should be done. Li et al applied space and space–time scan statistics to reveal the spatial and spatio-temporal clusters of LD [ 48 ]. They used finer scale census tract level count data of LD human cases in Virginia from 1998 to 2011.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Rural landscapes are associated with higher incidence [ 52 ]. Areas with education and surveillance needs are the ones with the highest LD risk [ 48 ].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%