2019
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3333239
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Spatial Correlation, Trade, and Inequality: Evidence from the Global Climate

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Cited by 9 publications
(12 citation statements)
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References 56 publications
(74 reference statements)
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“…Specifically, the authors exploit a naturally-occurring, quasi-random global climatic phenomenon -the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) -which drives the annual global spatial correlation of cereal productivity. Using a half-century of global agricultural trade data, Dingel, Meng and Hsiang (2018) find that year-to-year ENSO variation alters the distribution of the gains from trade so as to increase welfare inequality in a way that is consistent with their model's theoretical prediction. Having validated their prediction, Dingel, Meng and Hsiang (2018) consider the consequences of accounting for this general equilibrium mechanism in projections of climate change impacts.…”
Section: What To Do With Global Public Goodssupporting
confidence: 54%
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“…Specifically, the authors exploit a naturally-occurring, quasi-random global climatic phenomenon -the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) -which drives the annual global spatial correlation of cereal productivity. Using a half-century of global agricultural trade data, Dingel, Meng and Hsiang (2018) find that year-to-year ENSO variation alters the distribution of the gains from trade so as to increase welfare inequality in a way that is consistent with their model's theoretical prediction. Having validated their prediction, Dingel, Meng and Hsiang (2018) consider the consequences of accounting for this general equilibrium mechanism in projections of climate change impacts.…”
Section: What To Do With Global Public Goodssupporting
confidence: 54%
“…Using a half-century of global agricultural trade data, Dingel, Meng and Hsiang (2018) find that year-to-year ENSO variation alters the distribution of the gains from trade so as to increase welfare inequality in a way that is consistent with their model's theoretical prediction. Having validated their prediction, Dingel, Meng and Hsiang (2018) consider the consequences of accounting for this general equilibrium mechanism in projections of climate change impacts. They show that projections that include a rise in the spatial correlation of cereal productivity due to climate change predict a 20% greater increase in global welfare inequality by the end of the 21st century compared to projections that omit this general equilibrium effect.…”
Section: What To Do With Global Public Goodssupporting
confidence: 54%
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“…Second, we need to think about general equilibrium effects across space and spillover effects across sectors in our models. Collaborations between trade and climate economists (Dingel, Meng, and Hsiang 2018), as well as academics working on supply chains (for example, Seetharam 2018), will likely yield fruitful insights. Finally, it is shocking how little work has been done on the effects of climate change on nonmarket goods other than mortality.…”
Section: Room For Expert Elicitation?mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Adjustments in trading patterns could also partially alleviate some uneven impacts of climate (Jones and Olken, 2010;Costinot, Donaldson, and Smith, 2016), but large-scale patterns of unequal damages could potentially be worsened by trade (Newbery and Stiglitz, 1984;Dingel, Hsiang, and Meng, 2017).…”
Section: Some Policy Considerations Concerning Climate Changementioning
confidence: 99%