Spatial impacts of demographic change in Germany

Swiaczny, Frank; Graze, Philip; Schlömer, Claus

doi:10.1007/s12523-009-0010-9

Cited by 34 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 18 publications

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“…On the other hand, the inflows of young people to urban areas with a number of vocational schools and wider labour market opportunities made population age structure younger and in general improved the demographic situation in the cities. Such tendencies were not unique to the post-soviet counties under discussion, as internal migration had the same impact on the population of Germany (Swiaczny et al, 2008), Czech Republic (Vobecka, 2010), and Sweden (Amcoff, Westholm, 2007).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 97%

Population change in the regional centres and internal periphery of the regions in Russia, Ukraine and Belarus over the period of 1990-2000s

Karachurina

Mkrtchyan

2015

Bulletin of Geography. Socio-Economic Series

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Abstract. The paper looks into the dynamics of the population size of Russia, Ukraine and Belarus after the census of 1989. Regions and cities of these countries were the focus of the research (territorial units level NUTS-3). The analysis addresses the question to what degree the remoteness from the regional centre, i.e. the position in the core-periphery system, influences the dynamics of the population size of the territorial units of the given level. For the analytical purposes the distinction has been made between the regional centres including adjacent suburban areas and internal regional periphery comprising districts and cities. The main indicator employed was the distance between the periphery areas and regional centres.The results of the analysis show that in spite of the depopulation of all three countries and severe transformational crisis, there was a steady growth of the population size in the regional centres, while the periphery areas of the regions continued to lose the population. The mentioned differences are primarily determined by migration flows, since the fertility rates are below the replacement level in all the countries' territories. Population tends to concentrate in the regional centres, which means urbanisation has not been completed yet. While similar patterns of population decline are observed in the periphery areas of Ukraine and Belarus, in Russia the depopulation rates are negatively influenced by the factor of remoteness of a periphery area from the regional centre. All three countries experienced rural population decline everywhere but suburban areas of the regional centres.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 97%

Population change in the regional centres and internal periphery of the regions in Russia, Ukraine and Belarus over the period of 1990-2000s

Karachurina

Mkrtchyan

2015

Bulletin of Geography. Socio-Economic Series

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“…In contrast the rise in absolute numbers of population 65? shown in map D is more evenly distributed and reflects the fact that some regions are by now already older than the average of the country and will continue to age at a slower pace in the future (Swiaczny et al 2008).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The current demographic change in Germany is rooted in a long-running low level of fertility and characterized by rapid demographic ageing. It is anticipated that beside these general demographic trends spatial disparities in population structures will be growing considerably in future (Schlömer 2006(Schlömer , 2007Swiaczny et al 2008). Particularly places in peripheral regions, the majority of them located in the eastern part of the country, are already seriously affected by this process which will increase in pace and spread spatially in the years to come (Herfert 2007).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Implications of demographic change for civil society in Germany

Swiaczny

2010

J Pop Research

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Germany is currently beginning to become aware of the consequences of a process of demographic change, initially triggered by extremely low levels of fertility. The population recently started to decline, the demographic dividend is coming to an end and the ageing of society accelerates. Particularly places in peripheral regions are already seriously affected by this process which will increase in pace and spread spatially. Shrinking and ageing populations are associated with a declining purchasing power as well as fewer local tax revenues for public and private services and infrastructure. The population necessary to maintain and economically justify the provision of public services and infrastructure at the current level will in many cases shrink below required thresholds. Commercial services will probably also continue to diminish at such places. Volunteer organizations may provide some of the services which the local administrations can no longer afford to provide and thus strengthen civil society and social cohesion. But can this be an option for communities with a shrinking and ageing population in which qualified younger people are lost through out-migration? The paper presents a new projection of the future demographic capacity for volunteer organizations and concludes that the decay of demographic capacity will affect most regions and sectors of civil society. The loss will be most prominent in remote areas with low population density and in sectors where the need to compensate for declining public services and infrastructure will be highest.

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“…Some studies focus on the healthy and active ageing of older residents and verify the relationship between the way older people maintain the continuity of their activities and independence, within the limits of their personal resources, and the changing urban environment [3,[35][36][37]. Finally, some studies examine the spatiotemporal trend changes in older urban population data [25,[38][39][40][41][42][43][44].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Urban Ageing in Europe—Spatiotemporal Analysis of Determinants

Lewandowska-Gwarda

Antczak

2020

IJGI

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The aim of this study was to identify determinants of the population ageing process in 270 European cities. We analyzed the proportion of older people: men and women separately (aged 65 or above) in city populations in the years 1990–2018. To understand territorially-varied relationships and to increase the explained variability of phenomena, an explanatory spatial data analysis (ESDA) and geographically weighted regression (GWR) were applied. We used ArcGIS and GeoDa software in this study. In our research, we also took into account the spatial interactions as well as the structure of cities by size and level of economic development. Results of the analysis helped to explain why some urban areas are ageing faster than others. An initial data analysis indicated that the proportion of the elderly in the population was spatially diversified and dependent on gender, as well as the size and economic development of a unit. In general, elderly individuals were more willing to live in larger and highly developed cities; however, women tended to live in large areas and men in medium-sized to large urban areas. Then, we conducted the urban ageing modelling for men and women separately. The application of GWR models enabled not only the specification of the city population ageing determinants, but also the analysis of the variability in the strength and direction of dependencies occurring between the examined variables in individual cities. Significant differences were noted in the analysis results for specific cities, which were often grouped due to similar parameter values, forming clusters that divided Europe into the eastern and western parts. Moreover, substantial differences in results were obtained for women and men.

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Spatial impacts of demographic change in Germany

Cited by 34 publications

References 18 publications

Population change in the regional centres and internal periphery of the regions in Russia, Ukraine and Belarus over the period of 1990-2000s

Population change in the regional centres and internal periphery of the regions in Russia, Ukraine and Belarus over the period of 1990-2000s

Implications of demographic change for civil society in Germany

Urban Ageing in Europe—Spatiotemporal Analysis of Determinants

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