2009
DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2008.05597.x
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Spatio‐temporal analysis of an invasive plant pathogen (Phytophthora ramorum) in England and Wales

Abstract: Phytophthora ramorum is a damaging invasive plant pathogen and was first discovered in the UK in 2002. Spatial point analyses were applied to the occurrence of this disease in England and Wales during the period of 2003Á2006 in order to assess its spatio-temporal spread. Out of the 4301 garden centres and nurseries (GCN) surveyed, there were 164, 105, 123 and 41 sites with P. ramorum in 2003, 2004, 2005 and 2006, respectively. Spatial analysis of the observed point patterns of GCN outbreaks suggested that thes… Show more

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Cited by 41 publications
(38 citation statements)
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“…The first case study involved P. ramorum, infecting a wide range of ornamental and wild species [59,60]; and the second case study covered D. solani, a new aggressive pathogen infecting potatoes causing black leg and tuber soft rots that emerged in Europe around 2005 -2006. These case studies, based on recent consultations by the government, were analysed for involvement of stakeholders, their influence on decision-making, modes of communication between decision-makers and stakeholders, and policy outcomes.…”
Section: Stakeholder Workhopmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The first case study involved P. ramorum, infecting a wide range of ornamental and wild species [59,60]; and the second case study covered D. solani, a new aggressive pathogen infecting potatoes causing black leg and tuber soft rots that emerged in Europe around 2005 -2006. These case studies, based on recent consultations by the government, were analysed for involvement of stakeholders, their influence on decision-making, modes of communication between decision-makers and stakeholders, and policy outcomes.…”
Section: Stakeholder Workhopmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Sporulation patterns in California (Davidson et al, 2005) show that the pathogen can build up very high inoculum loads in response to favourable climatic conditions in a fairly short period of time. This supports the concept that rapid outbreaks are actually not just possible, but very common, once the pathogen is established in a site 140: likelihood of spread with human assistance Rapid spread in the nursery network does not automatically lead to rapid spread into the environment, as ornamental shrubs are not planted in woodland or heathland RAPRA did not suggest this, the report judged that P. ramorum was very likely (with low uncertainty) to spread rapidly with human assistance The study by Xu et al (2009) on spatio-temporal patterns of P. ramorum outbreaks in nurseries and semi-natural environment in England andWales (2003-2006) shows some degree of association between findings in nurseries and in the environment. Planting of Rhododendron, Viburnum, Camellia in private gardens may well lead to spread in woodlands, if these gardens are close to them.…”
Section: Member State Commentsmentioning
confidence: 98%
“…Although the need of information on frequency of planting of P. ramorum susceptible plants in woodland or heathland now needs to be considered with the UK P. ramorum outbreak on Japanese larch in mind, the study by Xu et al (2009) on spatio-temporal patterns of positive findings in England and Wales suggests some (decreasing) co-occurrence of nursery and environment outbreaks. UK and EU-wide P. ramorum genetic studies as performed in California would help to know more here.…”
Section: General Commentsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For P. ramorum, the epidemics in the horticultural trade and those in the seminatural landscape can be viewed as only partly independent systems (as shown for England and Wales [143]). In the West Coast of the United States, two predominant pathways (forest versus horticulture) of P. ramorum migration have been identified combining genetic network analysis and data on trace forward and trace back data on movement of plants in the nursery trade (39).…”
Section: Figurementioning
confidence: 99%
“…The current policy relative to P. ramorum in plant traders of the UK and other European countries comprises both surveys of national plant health authorities and mandatory reporting of the pathogen by nursery growers (143). A series of simulation experiments were run, with variation in the epidemic pressure and in the connection between seminatural vegetation and horticultural trade, with or without disease spread in commercial trade, and with or without inspections-with-eradication.…”
Section: Figurementioning
confidence: 99%