“…For these settings, consistent spectral density estimators have been proposed. Further references and developments in time‐series analysis with missing data can be found in Dunsmuir and Robinson (,b), Jiang and Hui (), Lee (), Robinson (), Vorotniskaya (), and Quevedo et al . ().…”
The problem of non-parametric spectral density estimation for discrete-time series in the presence of missing observations has a long history. In particular, the first consistent estimators of the spectral density have been developed at about the same time as consistent estimators for non-parametric regression. On the other hand, while for now, the theory of efficient (under the minimax mean integrated squared error criteria) and adaptive nonparametric regression estimation with missing data is well developed, no similar results have been proposed for the spectral density of a time series whose observations are missed according to an unknown stochastic process. This article develops the theory of efficient and adaptive estimation for a class of spectral densities that includes classical causal autoregressive moving-average time series. The developed theory shows how a missing mechanism affects the estimation and what penalty it imposes on the risk convergence. In particular, given costs of a single observation in time series with and without missing data and a desired accuracy of estimation, the theory allows one to choose the cost-effective time series. A numerical study confirms the asymptotic theory.
“…For these settings, consistent spectral density estimators have been proposed. Further references and developments in time‐series analysis with missing data can be found in Dunsmuir and Robinson (,b), Jiang and Hui (), Lee (), Robinson (), Vorotniskaya (), and Quevedo et al . ().…”
The problem of non-parametric spectral density estimation for discrete-time series in the presence of missing observations has a long history. In particular, the first consistent estimators of the spectral density have been developed at about the same time as consistent estimators for non-parametric regression. On the other hand, while for now, the theory of efficient (under the minimax mean integrated squared error criteria) and adaptive nonparametric regression estimation with missing data is well developed, no similar results have been proposed for the spectral density of a time series whose observations are missed according to an unknown stochastic process. This article develops the theory of efficient and adaptive estimation for a class of spectral densities that includes classical causal autoregressive moving-average time series. The developed theory shows how a missing mechanism affects the estimation and what penalty it imposes on the risk convergence. In particular, given costs of a single observation in time series with and without missing data and a desired accuracy of estimation, the theory allows one to choose the cost-effective time series. A numerical study confirms the asymptotic theory.
“…Typical practical examples are when a recording apparatus is faulty or liable to failure, or observations cannot be collected due to poor weather conditions; see a discussion in Parzen (1963), Efromovich (1999), Bloomfield (2004) and Tarczynski and Allay (2004). In the modern missing data literature R t would be referred to as the indicator of observing the data at time t and the missing mechanism would be called missing completely at random (MCAR), see Little and Rubin (2002). The stochastic time series {Z t } defines the amplitude-modulating mechanism.…”
Section: mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The made assumption allows us to conclude that only time series {R t } defines the missing mechanism and that the non-zero mean of Z t does not change in time. There are numerous examples of amplitude-modulated times series discussed, for instance, in Parzen (1963), Dunsmuir and Robinson (1981), Efromovich (1999), Jiang and Hui (2004), and Vorotniskaya (2008). Now, following Efromovich (1999), let us introduce the shape of spectral density…”
“…For example, Wahba (1980) considered spline approximations to the log-periodogram using the least-square method; Pawitan and O'Sullivan (1994) and Kooperberg et al (1995aKooperberg et al ( , 1995b used Whittle's likelihood to estimate parameters in the spline models; Fan and Kreutzberger (1998) studied automatic procedures for estimating spectral densities, using the local linear fit and the local Whittle's likelihood; Jiang and Hui (2004) proposed a generalized periodogram and smoothed it using local linear approximations when missing data appeared.…”
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