“…Indeed, an increase in monthly maximum temperature of 1°C between 1982 and 2011 advanced spring phenology by 3 d in the Northern Hemisphere (Piao et al, 2015). A +2°C experimental warming advanced spring phenology by an average c. 2 d in A. balsamea and P. mariana (Bellemin-Noël et al, 2021), and natural black spruce stands experienced earlier budbreak up to 3 d for each 1°C increase (Pureswaran et al, 2019) P. mariana between 2016 and 2020 in the SPRUCE experiment in Minnesota, USA (Hanson et al, 2017;Richardson et al, 2018;Schädel et al, 2019Schädel et al, , 2020Schädel et al, , 2021, where an advance of 5.4 d °CÀ1 of temperature increase was observed and correctly simulated in the validation tests (Fig. 5).…”