Stability of alcohol consumption over time: evidence from three longitudinal surveys from the United States.

Kerr, William C.; Fillmore, Kaye Middleton; Bostrom, Alan

doi:10.15288/jsa.2002.63.325

Cited by 111 publications

(104 citation statements)

References 21 publications

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“…Lifetime abstainers cannot similarly select themselves out of this category as their heath declines, leading to a bias toward a protective effect of current drinking, even when former drinkers are clearly identifi ed. Lifecourse drinking patterns may also be particularly important for assessing the effects of heavy drinking (Emberson et al, 2005), because this type of drinking exhibits less stability over time than more moderate patterns (Kerr et al, 2002).…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Relationship of Life-Course Drinking Patterns to Diabetes, Heart Problems, and Hypertension Among Those 40 and Older in the 2005 U.S. National Alcohol Survey

Kerr

Ye²

2010

J. Stud. Alcohol Drugs

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ABSTRACT. Objective: The goal of this study was to estimate relationships between life-course drinking patterns and the risks of self-reported diabetes, heart problems, and hypertension. Method: Respondents to the 2005 National Alcohol Survey, age 40 and older, reported ever having a doctor or health professional diagnose each of the health-problem outcomes. Retrospective earlier-life drinking patterns were characterized by lifetime abstention and the frequency of 5+ drinking days (i.e., days on which fi ve or more drinks were consumed) in the respondent's teens, 20s, and 30s. Past-year drinking patterns were measured through intake volume and 5+ days. Potential confounders in the domains of demographics, socioeconomic resources, and other health-risk variables-that is, depression, distress, sense of coherence, body mass index, tobacco use, marijuana use, childhood abuse, and family history of alcohol problems-were controlled through propensity-score matching. Results:After matching, lifetime abstainers were found to be at increased risk of diabetes compared with both lifetime and current moderate drinkers. Exdrinkers were found to be at increased risk of diabetes, heart problems, and hypertension. Higher volume drinkers without monthly 5+ days were found to be at reduced risk of diabetes relative to moderatevolume current drinkers. Heavy-occasion drinkers were found to be at increased risk of hypertension. Conclusions: Regular lower quantity alcohol intake may be protective against adult onset of diabetes, but no evidence of protection from heart problems or hypertension was found. Both life course-defi ned and past year-defi ned drinking groups exhibit substantial clustering of confounding risk variables, indicating the need for modeling strategies like propensity-score matching. Increased risks among exdrinkers suggest a substantial "sick-quitter" effect. (J. Stud. Alcohol Drugs, 71, 515-525, 2010)

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mentioning

confidence: 99%

Relationship of Life-Course Drinking Patterns to Diabetes, Heart Problems, and Hypertension Among Those 40 and Older in the 2005 U.S. National Alcohol Survey

Kerr

Ye²

2010

J. Stud. Alcohol Drugs

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“…More generally, considerable stability in alcohol use or nonuse emerged across time-76% of the sample either never drank from W1 to W6 or had drunk at least something during each wave. But at the same time, change was evident in almost one quarter of the sample, as others have found (Cook and Moore, 2001;Kerr et al, 2002;Webb et al, 1991). Clearly, individual variation is important to consider.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 79%

“…Yet Markov models can also estimate change processes in which current behavior is infl uenced by more distal behavior as well. Such models are referred to as higher-order models, most appropriate for change processes such as current alcohol use that likely have a strong effect of history (Cook and Moore, 2001;Erkanli et al, 2001;Kerr et al, 2002;Langeheine and van de Pol, 2000).…”

Section: Markov Modelsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Alcohol Use Among American Indian High School Youths From Adolescence and Young Adulthood: A Latent Markov Model

Mitchell

Beals

Whitesell

2008

J. Stud. Alcohol Drugs

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ABSTRACT. Objective:We explored patterns of alcohol use among American Indian youths as well as concurrent predictors and developmental outcomes 6 years later. Method: This study used six semi-annual waves of data collected across 3 years from 861 American Indian youths, ages 14-20 initially, from two western tribes. Using a latent Markov model, we examined patterns of change in latent states of adolescent alcohol use in the past 6 months, combining these states of alcohol use into three latent statuses that described patterns of change across the 3 years: abstainers, inconsistent drinkers, and consistent drinkers. We then explored how the latent statuses differed, both initially and in young adulthood (ages 20-26). Results: Both alcohol use and nonuse were quite stable across time, although we also found evidence of change. Despite some rather troubling drinking patterns as teens, especially among consistent drinkers, most of the youths had achieved important tasks of young adulthood. But patterns of use during adolescence were related to greater levels of substance use in young adulthood. Conclusions: Latent Markov modeling provided a useful categorization of alcohol use that more fi nely differentiated those youths who would otherwise have been considered inconsistent drinkers. Findings also suggest that broad-based interventions during adolescence may not be the most important ones; instead, programs targeting later alcohol and other drug use may be a more strategic use of often limited resources. (J. Stud. Alcohol Drugs 69: [666][667][668][669][670][671][672][673][674][675] 2008)

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“…However, results based on one-point assessments of alcohol consumption should be interpreted with caution, since especially younger and heavier drinkers often alternate between abstention/light drinking and moderate/heavy drinking, which only can be identified by using multiple measurements or retrospective measures (Kerr, Fillmore, & Bostrom, 2002). The sample sizes for each of our study countries, especially Uganda, were not particularly large, and this could have led to a lack of significant relationships.…”

Section: Limitationsmentioning

confidence: 87%

Alcohol consumption, mental health status, and treatment in Nigeria and Uganda

Thylstrup

Bloomfield

Seid

2018

IJADR

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Stability of alcohol consumption over time: evidence from three longitudinal surveys from the United States.

Cited by 111 publications

References 21 publications

Relationship of Life-Course Drinking Patterns to Diabetes, Heart Problems, and Hypertension Among Those 40 and Older in the 2005 U.S. National Alcohol Survey

Relationship of Life-Course Drinking Patterns to Diabetes, Heart Problems, and Hypertension Among Those 40 and Older in the 2005 U.S. National Alcohol Survey

Alcohol Use Among American Indian High School Youths From Adolescence and Young Adulthood: A Latent Markov Model

Alcohol consumption, mental health status, and treatment in Nigeria and Uganda

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