Purpose. The objective of this investigation was to identify independent pretreatment factors that predict for control of local brain metastases (BM) in a large single-institution series of patients receiving stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS). Recursive partitioning analysis was used to potentially identify a class of patients with durable lesion control characteristics. Methods. A retrospective SRS database containing baseline characteristics, treatment details, and follow-up data of newly diagnosed patients with 1-3 BM (on magnetic resonance imaging) treated with linear accelerator-based SRS was created. Three study endpoints were used: time to progression (primary endpoint, individual lesion progression; n ϭ 536), time to first progression (secondary endpoint, first lesion progression on an individual patient basis; n ϭ 380), and overall survival (secondary endpoint; n ϭ 380). Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was performed to identify predictors of time to progression.Results. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that lesion aspect/phenotype and radiotherapy schedule were independent factors associated with both progression outcomes. Presence of tumor necrosis was found to be associated with a significant hazard of progression (hazard ratio Ͼ3), whereas use of the most intense radiotherapy fractionation schedule (21 Gy in one fraction) was associated with significant reductions in progression (hazard ratio Ͻ0.3). RPA using SRS dose and lesion aspect/phenotype was created and described three distinct prognostic groups. Conclusions. RPA of a large retrospective database of patients receiving SRS confirmed previous observations regarding the importance of SRS dose and lesion aspect/ phenotype in lesion control and overall survival. The SRS lesion analysis may help to stratify future clinical trials and better define patient care options and prognosis. The Oncologist 2013;18:330 -335 Implications for Practice: The importance of this work is primarily in the confirmation of previously reported associations between lesion dose and MRI phenotype with local lesion control after stereotactic radiosurgery. This manuscript extends these associations into a clinical useful risk stratification system to relate how lesion dose and MRI phenotype can relate to lesion control and overall survival. This new risk stratification system may assist in clinical care and clinical trial design by better defining expected treatment outcomes after stereotactic radiosurgery.
INTRODUCTIONThe diagnosis of brain metastases (BM) is frequently related to the natural history of the spread of many primary tumors, including those arising in the lung, breast, colorectal, renal, and skin (i.e., melanoma) [1]. Development of metastatic disease in the brain can lead to clinically significant reductions in health-related quality of life, neurological/neurocognitive compromise, and life expectancy [2]. Treatment selection is highly dependent on pretreatment clinical factors, prognosis (as estimated by various published risk stratification p...