Storm Surge

Swail, V.; Swail, V.; Swail, V.; Swail, V.; Swail, V.; Swail, V.; Swail, V.; Swail, V.; Swail, V.

doi:10.5270/oceanobs09.cwp.88

Cited by 7 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 14 publications

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“…2.5.1. Storm Surges: Hazard Forecasting Forecasting approaches range from empirical approaches to complex numerical models (Kohno et al, 2018;Swail, 2010). Approaches vary by country, region, and lead time of forecasts.…”

Section: Storm Surgesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact Forecasting to Support Emergency Management of Natural Hazards

Merz

Kuhlicke

Kunz

et al. 2020

Reviews of Geophysics

161

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Forecasting and early warning systems are important investments to protect lives, properties, and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude, location, and timing of potentially damaging events, these systems rarely provide impact estimates, such as the expected amount and distribution of physical damage, human consequences, disruption of services, or financial loss. Complementing early warning systems with impact forecasts has a twofold advantage: It would provide decision makers with richer information to take informed decisions about emergency measures and focus the attention of different disciplines on a common target. This would allow capitalizing on synergies between different disciplines and boosting the development of multihazard early warning systems. This review discusses the state of the art in impact forecasting for a wide range of natural hazards. We outline the added value of impact-based warnings compared to hazard forecasting for the emergency phase, indicate challenges and pitfalls, and synthesize the review results across hazard types most relevant for Europe. Plain Language Summary Forecasting and early warning systems are important investments to protect lives, properties and livelihood. While such systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude, location, and timing of potentially damaging events, they rarely provide impact estimates, such as the expected physical damage, human consequences, disruption of services, or financial loss. Extending hazard forecast systems to include impact estimates promises many benefits for the emergency phase, for instance, for organizing evacuations. We review and compare the state of the art of impact forecasting across a wide range of natural hazards and outline opportunities and key challenges for research and development of impact forecasting.

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Section: Storm Surgesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact Forecasting to Support Emergency Management of Natural Hazards

Merz

Kuhlicke

Kunz

et al. 2020

Reviews of Geophysics

161

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“…Innovative solutions are required to minimize the impacts of these events, and since 2009 WMO and JCOMM have partnered to develop tools that can be used to improve prediction and lessen the effects of these disasters. The Coastal Inundation Forecasting Demonstration Project (CIFDP) is a cooperative effort by the WMO's Commission for Hydrology and JCOMM to pilot an initial capability in Bangladesh, Fiji, the island of Hispaniola encompassing both the Dominican Republic and Haiti, and Indonesia, with a focus on the development and implementation of multi-hazard early warning systems leading to long-term disaster risk reduction services in these coastal states (Swail et al, 2010). The project integrated observations of sea level, ocean waves, and meteorological variables including wind, pressure, and rainfall with hydrological information, such as river level and flow.…”

Section: The Disaster Risk Reduction Servicesmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Joint IOC (of UNESCO) and WMO Collaborative Effort for Met-Ocean Services

et al. 2019

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Pinardi et al. Marine Monitoring to Services resulting from the observations and data management. Future developments should enhance coordination in these three program areas by considering the inclusion of new and emergent observing technologies, the interoperability of met-ocean data assembly centers and the establishment of efficient research to operations protocols, in addition to better fit-for-purpose customized services in both the public and private sectors.

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“…The analysis complements a community white paper by Malone et al on a strategy to implement the coastal module of the Global Ocean Observing System [1]. It builds on recommendations proposed by community white papers on storm surges [2], on ecosystem monitoring using chlorophyll [3] and coral reef health [4], and on observations of local sea level changes [5].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Coastal Futures and Ocean Observing Initiatives

McManus

2010

Proceedings of OceanObs'09: Sustained Ocean Observations and Information for Society

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The Coastal Module has become the bottleneck in completing the Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS). The complexity of the coast as a socialecological system demands nurturing a bottom-up collaborative process. At the scale of GOOS Regional Alliances (GRAs), member states need to take a few yet decisive steps to initiate this process. They must identify minimum core sets of priority coastal observations, for which competence, assets and commitments for sustained measurements exist. They will need to evolve a data sharing policy that is open, transparent and free or at minimum cost. A sustained capacity building program in modelling and planning by in-country scientists, and in the use of data products by user communities, should be established. Progress may proceed at incremental pace, focusing on one or few variables at a time, and building trust and experience as milestones of scientific collaboration. The long-standing impasse that has rendered developing country GRAs non-or minimally functional may then be broken. Smart coastal planning has to begin soon so resilience, not vulnerability, would underpin the fate of the planet's most productive ecotone.

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Storm Surge

Abstract: The

Cited by 7 publications

References 14 publications

Impact Forecasting to Support Emergency Management of Natural Hazards

Impact Forecasting to Support Emergency Management of Natural Hazards

The Joint IOC (of UNESCO) and WMO Collaborative Effort for Met-Ocean Services

Coastal Futures and Ocean Observing Initiatives

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