2017
DOI: 10.1038/srep45326
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Strain-specific estimation of epidemic success provides insights into the transmission dynamics of tuberculosis

Abstract: The transmission dynamics of tuberculosis involves complex interactions of socio-economic and, possibly, microbiological factors. We describe an analytical framework to infer factors of epidemic success based on the joint analysis of epidemiological, clinical and pathogen genetic data. We derive isolate-specific, genetic distance-based estimates of epidemic success, and we represent success-related time-dependent concepts, namely epidemicity and endemicity, by restricting analysis to specific time scales. The … Show more

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Cited by 20 publications
(50 citation statements)
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“…The aim of this paper was to investigate whether mercury pollution may explain the success of USA 300-LV in South America, notably in the Andean countries where the high prevalence of USA300-LV (9)(10)(11)(12) coincides with high environmental mercury pollution (15). Using the Timescaled Haplotypic Density (THD) method to examine patterns of epidemic success (17) in 250 genomes of the ST8 lineage, we confirmed that the acquisition of mecA, followed by COMER or ACME contributed to epidemic success of the two sub-lineages, and that COMER only increased success in South American countries. In vitro experiments in the presence of subinhibitory concentration of mercury revealed an overexpression of major virulence factors by USA300-LV and a fitness advantage of USA-LV over USA300-NA, thus providing a plausible model and selection drive explaining the success of USA300-LV in South America.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 67%
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“…The aim of this paper was to investigate whether mercury pollution may explain the success of USA 300-LV in South America, notably in the Andean countries where the high prevalence of USA300-LV (9)(10)(11)(12) coincides with high environmental mercury pollution (15). Using the Timescaled Haplotypic Density (THD) method to examine patterns of epidemic success (17) in 250 genomes of the ST8 lineage, we confirmed that the acquisition of mecA, followed by COMER or ACME contributed to epidemic success of the two sub-lineages, and that COMER only increased success in South American countries. In vitro experiments in the presence of subinhibitory concentration of mercury revealed an overexpression of major virulence factors by USA300-LV and a fitness advantage of USA-LV over USA300-NA, thus providing a plausible model and selection drive explaining the success of USA300-LV in South America.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 67%
“…We compared the evolution of epidemic success in the two USA300 sublineages using timescaled haplotypic density (THD) (17). The THD method uses pairwise genetic distances to estimate the epidemic success of each isolate in a collection, allowing comparisons of success based on various isolate characteristics.…”
Section: The Epidemic Success Of the St8 Lineage Increases Sequentialmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…It is widely recognized that Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) of different molecular types have different transmission capacities, pathogenicity and drug resistance rates [1,2]. Therefore, Mtb genotypes may be associated with the tuberculosis (TB) endemicity [3,4]. Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Lineage 4 represents the most diverse and geographically widespread lineage of M. tuberculosis, with each sub-lineage having different phenotypic characteristics (Rasigade et al, 2017, Comas et al, 2014, Stucki et al, 2016. Major sub-lineages within lineage 4 include X, T, Latin American Mediterranean (LAM) and Haarlem (Fitzgibbon et al, 2013).…”
Section: 13: M Tuberculosis Sub-lineagesmentioning
confidence: 99%