This study examines trends in drug development times. Longer clinical trial times have been described as one factor leading to higher drug prices. Previous reports on development times have been based on proprietary data. We examined trends in development times for 168 drugs with data collected from publicly available sources. T r e n d s i n t h e regulatory review period of drugs over time have been extensively examined, because public data are available for this phase. 1 However, information on clinical trial periods is mainly based on proprietary data supplied by the pharmaceutical industry that are unavailable to the public, or on duration models based on data supplied by industry news and intelligence services. This prior work suggests that clinical trial time has been decreasing. 2 Our examination of development time adds to the earlier work in the area; we were able to reveal data on individual drugs, analyze development times by various drug characteristics, and examine trends in ways that have not been published before, mainly because we were not limited by proprietary agreements with industry. In addition, we used government-verified development dates on approved drugs, not proprietary data, to examine trends.Development time is important because of numerous claims that it is a factor in drug pricing. The pharmaceutical industry argues that long drug development times lead to high drug prices, and it identifies increasingly longer clinical trial periods as an important factor.
3Long development times presumably lead to higher opportunity costs of capital and higher research and development (R&D) costs. It has also been suggested that decreases in development time can have a substantial downward effect on these costs. 4 The claim that longer development times lead to high drug prices suggests that drug pricing is based on costs. In other words, high R&D costs lead to higher drug prices, and current prices are necessary to fund future R&D spending.