Straw effects of new highway construction on local population and employment growth

Kim, Jin Yoo; Han, Jung Hoon

doi:10.1016/j.habitatint.2015.11.009

Cited by 30 publications

(16 citation statements)

References 20 publications

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“…In recent years, accelerating urbanization has led to further demand for updated and sustainable ground transportation infrastructure (Jha et al, 2014;Li, 2016). Such systems are characterized by shorter travel times, greater safety, energy efficiency and reduced environmental impacts (Kim and Han, 2016). Improved transportation systems play a major role in hastening urban, rural, industrial and economic development, and lead to the expansion of jobs, education and personal opportunities (Gunasekera et al, 2008;Tsou et al, 2015;Locatelli et al, 2017).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

How do modern transportation projects impact on development of impervious surfaces via new urban area and urban intensification? Evidence from Hangzhou Bay Bridge, China

et al. 2018

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Many countries have been constructing modern ground transportation projects. This raises questions about the impacts of such projects on development of impervious surfaces, yet there have been few attempts to systematically analyze these impacts. This paper attempts to narrow this information gap using the Hangzhou Bay Bridge project, China, as an exploratory case study. Using remotely sensed data, we developed a framework based on statistical techniques, wavelet multi-resolution analysis and Theil-Sen slope analysis to measure the changes in impervious surfaces. The derived changes were then linked to the bridge project with respect to socioeconomic factors and land use development activities. The findings highlight that the analytical framework could reliably quantify the area, pattern and form of new urban area and urban intensification. Change detection analysis showed that urban area, GDP and the length of highways increased moderately in the pre-Hangzhou Bay Bridge period (1995-2002) while all of these variables increased more substantially during (2002-2009) and after (2009-2013) the bridge construction. The results indicate that the development of impervious surfaces due to new urban area came at the expense of permeable surfaces in the urban fringe and within rural regions, while urban intensification occurred mainly in the form of the redevelopment of older structures to modern high-rise buildings within existing urban regions. In the context of improved transportation infrastructure, our findings suggest that new urban area and urban intensification can be attributed to consecutive events which act like a chain reaction: construction of improved transportation projects, their impacts on land use development policies, effects of both systems on socioeconomic variables, and finally all these changes influence new urban area and urban intensification. However, more research is needed to better understand this sequential process and to examine the broader applicability of the concept in other developing regions.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

How do modern transportation projects impact on development of impervious surfaces via new urban area and urban intensification? Evidence from Hangzhou Bay Bridge, China

et al. 2018

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“…Another possible explanation for the negative direct and positive indirect associations that passenger rails have on population and employment changes could be related to the “straw” effects. The straw effects of transportation infrastructure lower economic productivity in lagging areas because of the increased local dependency on the vibrant surrounding areas (Kim and Han, 2016). Intercity passenger rails do not contribute to making a county an attractive place; rather, they help move out local population and employment.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Intercity Passenger Rails: Facilitating the Spatial Spillover Effects of Population and Employment Growth in the United States, 2000–2010

Kasu

Chi

2018

J. Urban Plann. Dev.

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This research examines the association that intercity passenger rails have with population and employment growth at the county level in the continental United States from 2000 to 2010. This research adopts an integrated spatial regression approach that incorporates both spatial lag and spatial error dependence. The data come from the U.S. Census Bureau, the Bureau of Transportation Statistics, the Land Developability Index, and the National Atlas of the United States. Population and employment change are regressed on intercity passenger rails, controlling for 14 socioeconomic variables. Intercity passenger rails are measured by the number of intercity passenger rail terminals in each county. The results suggest that the associations that intercity passenger rails have with population and employment change are both direct and indirect. Intercity passenger rails have a negative and direct association with population and employment change from 2000 to 2010. The Great Recession during this period may have compelled people to move out of their home county in search of jobs; having intercity passenger rails facilitated this process. The results also indicate that intercity passenger rails have a positive and indirect association with population and employment change. Population and employment change in one county influences those in the adjacent counties. This indirect association shows the spatial spillover effect of population and employment growth through passenger rails. The indirect association does not come from within the county; rather, it is a spread effect from its neighbors. This research suggests that intercity passenger rails, although built long ago, still play an important role in facilitating the spread of change and the integration of local communities into a larger regional economy.

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“…At the regional level, road accessibility can affect population growth rate indirectly through economic growth and changes in employment opportunities [28,59,63], although the effect is complex. It can be positive or negative and vary with the degree of rurality of the territory [64]. In rural, suburban and urban areas of the United States, accessibility does not affect population growth rate, although it seems to reinforce some effects of spatial lag in population size change [33,65].…”

Section: Drivers Of Local Population Growth Ratementioning

confidence: 99%

Rural–Urban Gradients and Human Population Dynamics

et al. 2019

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Rural–urban gradients offer an appropriate ecological framework for understanding relevant social issues to sustainability and policy planning. We tested the hypothesis that human population growth rate at a local scale is indirectly driven by spatial and rurality gradients, which can be applied to cultural landscapes in Mediterranean Europe. The whole of local administrative/spatial units of Spain—8125 municipalities—, previously classified into five categories along a rural–urban gradient, was used as a case study. Several geospatial patterns and associations among local average per capita population growth rate, population mean age, road accessibility, and other environmental and landscape variables linked to rurality gradients were identified by means of geographic information system (GIS) and multivariate statistics. Regression analysis was used to assess the relationship between population size changes through time and other demographic and territorial variables. Population growth rate was associated with road accessibility and rurality gradient, supporting the established hypothesis. Short-term population growth or decline was directly driven by population mean age. A visual hypothesized model of local population growth rate based on empirical evidence is presented. The results are useful for decision-makers, from local land management interventions to developing strategies and policies to address the demographic challenge.

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Straw effects of new highway construction on local population and employment growth

Cited by 30 publications

References 20 publications

How do modern transportation projects impact on development of impervious surfaces via new urban area and urban intensification? Evidence from Hangzhou Bay Bridge, China

How do modern transportation projects impact on development of impervious surfaces via new urban area and urban intensification? Evidence from Hangzhou Bay Bridge, China

Intercity Passenger Rails: Facilitating the Spatial Spillover Effects of Population and Employment Growth in the United States, 2000–2010

Rural–Urban Gradients and Human Population Dynamics

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