Study of the Possibility of Predicting Earthquakes

Mavrodiev, S. Cht.; Pekevski, Lazo; Botev, E.; Pınar, Ali; Kikuashvili, Giorgi; Vol, Alexader; Gilat, Arie

doi:10.4236/ijg.2018.912042

Cited by 7 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 35 publications

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“…The possible solution of the short-term earthquake prediction problem is proposed herein based on the analysis of the physicochemical processes as participants in earthquake preparation and on the characteristic rate of reflection of these processes on the Earth's surface. This proposed solution provides a way of selecting a complex of reliable earthquake precursors using the Inverse Problem Method for earthquakes which will occur in the region around the monitoring point (radial distance ≈ 700 km) in the next seven day period [1]. Semenov already declared [38] that the trains of chemical explosions are chemical branched chain-reactions.…”

Section: The Hypothetical Physical Chemistry Of the Earthquake-hypocementioning

confidence: 99%

“…The Coexistence of the liquid and solid phases provides "adiabatic" heat transport with maximal efficacy. The latent heat capacity during a phase transition is two orders of magnitude higher than for a mixed liquid and solid phase due to the latent heat of the heat transition ( [1], references there). Therefore the solid-liquid state is thermodynamically preferable for the mantle matter and for the earthquake hypocenter heat transport.…”

Section: Sun-moon Tides As the Most Important Triggers For Earthquakesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Time and the rate of the processes involved are variable and may accelerate toward earthquake or bifurcation. It means that a relatively short-time reliable prediction may be based only on monitoring the changes of the electromagnetic fields and viscous-elastic waves as response to tides only [1].…”

Section: Sun-moon Tides As the Most Important Triggers For Earthquakesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Explosive substances are produced and accumulated due to the energy which is released in the earth's core, mantle, and lithosphere, by the five main sources listed below[1]:1) The cold nuclear synthesis (fusion reaction) is an important source of energy, and a source of additional flow of 3 H,3 He,4 He and earth neutrinos as shown by experiments of cold fusion on boundaries Fe-Ni and melt of aluminum silicates, iron and nickel compounds and oxides eutectics[27]-[33].2) The natural fission nuclear reactors with fast neutrons on the boundary of Earth's solid/liquid core, and possibly, liquid core/mantle[34] [35] [36]. Capacity of those reactors depends on the Sun-Axions flow-intensity[37].3) Tidal waves cause dissipation of energy and stimulate the physical-chemical processes in the Earth's core, mantle, lithosphere, and in the near-to-earth side of the Moon's interior [44].…”

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confidence: 99%

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Hypothetical Physics and Chemistry of Volcanic Eruptions: The Doorway to Their Prediction

Gilat¹,

Mavrodiev²,

Vol³

2019

IJG

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This article presents a further development of the hypotheses concerning the possibility of predicting ("tectonic") earthquakes [1]. Those hypotheses are based on the conversion of all types of released energy into heat and active chemical substances. One of the important sources of this phenomenon is the release of the latent energy trapped and stored during the Earth's accretion. The latent energy of primordial hydrogen and helium escaping from the Earth's core and lower mantle causes degassing processes [2] [3]. This latent energy converts into totally different types of chemical, electromagnetic and thermal energies of active compounds that are responsible for the major endogenic terrestrial processes. The dominating theories in seismology and volcanology are that an earthquake results from a sudden slip of a tectonic fault and that only magma and the gases contained in magma supply the volcanic energy resulting in the conclusions that earthquakes and eruptions are unpredictable. Volcanic eruption is considered herein to be a special case of the earthquake-process in which earthquake hypocenters rise to the Earth's surface. A possible solution is proposed ([1] and herein) based on the analyses of the physicochemical processes as participants in earthquake and eruption preparations (foreshocks-major shock-aftershocks-volcanic eruptions) and on the characteristic rates of reflection of these processes on the Earth's surface. Influences of Sun-Moon-tides and volcanic ("harmonic") tremors are analyzed from physical-chemical point of view. The case of the 1980 eruption of Mount St. Helens and the proposed monitoring of the recommended additional data provides a way of selecting a complex of reliable earthquake and volcanic eruption precursors.

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Section: The Hypothetical Physical Chemistry Of the Earthquake-hypocementioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Sun-moon Tides As the Most Important Triggers For Earthquakesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Sun-moon Tides As the Most Important Triggers For Earthquakesmentioning

confidence: 99%

mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Hypothetical Physics and Chemistry of Volcanic Eruptions: The Doorway to Their Prediction

Gilat¹,

Mavrodiev²,

Vol³

2019

IJG

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“…The prototype of the sensor patent [2] and article [3], based on measuring the flow of mercury vapor from the Earth into the atmosphere, are the basis of the projects described in [4]. In article [4], a physical model of the conditions necessary for the onset of an earthquake is presented, using a method based on recording flows of explosive gas rising from the Earth [5] [6] [7]. This model [4] explains the reason for the appearance of the precursor for a long period of time before the earthquake (from several hours to hundreds of hours) using a physical and mathematical model.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

On Reducing the Magnitude of an Impending Catastrophic Earthquake

Noppe¹

2019

IJG

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This article develops the ideas presented in the previous article, justifying the project proposed to determine the epicenter of a future short-focus earthquake tens of hours before the earthquake and the project to reduce the magnitude of an impending catastrophic earthquake. A physical and mathematical model of the prototype of a mercury earthquake precursor sensor is proposed, and the signal received by the old sensor is calculated. Analysis of an existing sensor prototype provides an understanding of physical processes and shows the fundamental advantage of the new sensor. An approach is formulated to explain the physical mechanism for reducing the magnitude of an impending catastrophic earthquake. A vibrator described in the literature is considered, the effectiveness of which for reducing the magnitude of future catastrophic short-focus earthquakes is estimated by the calculations of the long time of the earthquake precursor. The requirements for future specialized vibrators for the purpose of Reducing the Magnitude of an Impending Catastrophic Earthquake are formulated.

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Earthquake prediction technique: a comparative study

Jarah¹,

Alasadi

Hashim

2023

IJ-AI

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Earthquakes are one of the most dangerous natural disasters facing humans because of their occurrence without warning and their impact on their lives and property. In addition, predicting seismic movement is one of the main research topics in seismic disaster prevention. In geological studies, scientists can predict and know the locations of earthquakes in the long term. Therefore, about 80% of the major global earthquakes lie along the Pacific Ring belt, known as the Ring of Fire. Machine learning methods have also been used for short-term earthquake prediction, and studies have applied the random forest method to determine the factors that precede earthquakes. The machine learning method was based on various decision trees, each of which predicted the time to the nearest oscillation. The third group of scientists used the hybrid prediction method, which combines machine learning and geological studies. This research deals with a review of most of the geological studies and machine learning techniques applied to earthquake data sets, which showed a total lack of prediction of potential earthquakes through one approach, so studies designed by geologists were combined with machine learning.

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Study of the Possibility of Predicting Earthquakes

Cited by 7 publications

References 35 publications

Hypothetical Physics and Chemistry of Volcanic Eruptions: The Doorway to Their Prediction

Hypothetical Physics and Chemistry of Volcanic Eruptions: The Doorway to Their Prediction

On Reducing the Magnitude of an Impending Catastrophic Earthquake

Earthquake prediction technique: a comparative study

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