Study on the Influence of Undertaking Industrial Transfer on the Sustainability Development of Wanjiang City Belt

Abstract

The Wanjiang City Belt is an important part of Anhui’s economic development. It is the core area of the two national strategies regarding the rise of the central region and the integration of the Yangtze River Delta. This paper analyzes the urban development level of the Wanjiang City Belt using a nonparametric test. Holt’s linear trend method of a time series prediction model is used to predict and analyze the GDP growth rate of the second and third industries in the Wanjiang area. The results show that: (1) the economic development level of cities in the Wanjiang City Belt is unbalanced, and there is a significant gap in some cities in Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai; (2) the speed of undertaking industrial transfer in the Wanjiang City Belt is slowing down, and the competition of undertaking industrial transfer in the Wanjiang region is increasingly fierce; (3) in the process of the Wanjiang City Belt undertaking an industrial transfer, there are some problems such as the imbalance of undertaking ability, industrial isomorphism and regional competition, which hinder the coordinated development and sustainable economic development of the Wanjiang area. To achieve high-quality and sustainable development of the Wanjiang City Belt, it is necessary to further improve the policy guarantee, industrial cluster, talent introduction and independent innovation.

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“…The Holt-Winters method has been used individually or together with other methods in fields strictly linked to sustainable development or related to it, such as health [17,18], energy [19,20], pollution [21] and agriculture [22], but not limited to these [23,24].…”