2016
DOI: 10.1007/s10992-016-9416-8
|View full text |Cite
|
Sign up to set email alerts
|

Subjunctive Conditional Probability

Abstract: There seem to be two ways of supposing a proposition: supposing "indicatively" that Shakespeare didn't write Hamlet, it is likely that someone else did; supposing "subjunctively" that Shakespeare hadn't written Hamlet, it is likely that nobody would have written the play. Let P (B//A) be the probability of B on the subjunctive supposition that A. Is P (B//A) equal to the probability of the corresponding counterfactual, A B? I review recent triviality arguments against this hypothesis and argue that they do not… Show more

Help me understand this report

Search citation statements

Order By: Relevance

Paper Sections

Select...
1
1

Citation Types

0
2
0

Year Published

2019
2019
2023
2023

Publication Types

Select...
4

Relationship

0
4

Authors

Journals

citations
Cited by 4 publications
(2 citation statements)
references
References 31 publications
0
2
0
Order By: Relevance
“…On a standard interpretation, is the probability of A on the hypothetical supposition of B , that is, in the situation where we add B to our stock of knowledge. By contrast, we’ll follow Schwarz (2018) in using to indicate the probability of A on the subjunctive supposition of B , which allows for B to overwrite our previous knowledge 1 . As we would expect, these two kinds of conditioning can and will come apart.…”
Section: Two Kinds Of Suppositionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…On a standard interpretation, is the probability of A on the hypothetical supposition of B , that is, in the situation where we add B to our stock of knowledge. By contrast, we’ll follow Schwarz (2018) in using to indicate the probability of A on the subjunctive supposition of B , which allows for B to overwrite our previous knowledge 1 . As we would expect, these two kinds of conditioning can and will come apart.…”
Section: Two Kinds Of Suppositionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…I will continue to use the term 'counterfactual conditional' to refer to conditionals, like (1), that contain this extra layer of past tense morphology because the term is familiar and I know of no better label. 2 For discussion of Skyrms' Thesis, see Skyrms (1980), Edgington (2008), Williams (2012), Moss (2013), Schwarz (2016), Schulz (2017), and Khoo (ms).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%