2018
DOI: 10.1016/j.cognition.2018.06.003
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Successful structure learning from observational data

Abstract: Previous work suggests that humans find it difficult to learn the structure of causal systems given observational data alone. We identify two conditions that enable successful structure learning from observational data: people succeed if the underlying causal system is deterministic, and if each pattern of observations has a single root cause. In four experiments, we show that either condition alone is sufficient to enable high levels of performance, but that performance is poor if neither condition applies. A… Show more

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Cited by 29 publications
(10 citation statements)
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“…This definition implicitly operates over particular representations: discrete states, such as events or facts that have some probability of occurring or being true. Because of this, experimental work in causal cognition has primarily focused on causal relationships between discrete valued (often binary) variables (e.g., Sloman, 2005;Krynski and Tenenbaum, 2007;Ali et al, 2011;Fernbach and Erb, 2013;Hayes et al, 2014;Rehder, 2014;Rothe et al, 2018). These are typically presented in contexts in which temporal information is either unavailable or abstracted away so that cases can be summarized in a contingency table.…”
Section: Probabilistic Causation Over Discrete Eventsmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…This definition implicitly operates over particular representations: discrete states, such as events or facts that have some probability of occurring or being true. Because of this, experimental work in causal cognition has primarily focused on causal relationships between discrete valued (often binary) variables (e.g., Sloman, 2005;Krynski and Tenenbaum, 2007;Ali et al, 2011;Fernbach and Erb, 2013;Hayes et al, 2014;Rehder, 2014;Rothe et al, 2018). These are typically presented in contexts in which temporal information is either unavailable or abstracted away so that cases can be summarized in a contingency table.…”
Section: Probabilistic Causation Over Discrete Eventsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…It follows that learning successfully in natural settings depends on accommodating these factors. Cognitive psychologists have explored many of these dimensions of complexity in isolation (e.g., stochasticity: Waldmann and Holyoak, 1992;Bramley et al, 2017a;Rothe et al, 2018;interventions: Sloman and Lagnado, 2005;Waldmann and Hagmayer, 2005;Bramley et al, 2015;Coenen et al, 2015;time: Buehner and May, 2003;Lagnado and Sloman, 2006;Rottman and Keil, 2012;Bramley et al, 2018; and continuous variables: Pacer and Griffiths, 2011). However, we argue these components generally can not be isolated in realistic learning settings, meaning a deeper understanding of human causal cognition will require a new framework that naturally accommodates inference from interventions in continuous dynamic settings.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Currently, we have only studied how people learn functions on spatial representations of graph structures, where all nodes and edges are visible simultaneously. However, people can perform inferences over discrete structures that are more conceptual such as social hierarchies (Lau, Pouncy, Gershman, & Cikara, 2018) or causal connections (Rothe, Deverett, Mayrhofer, & Kemp, 2018). Given that the GP framework can be used to compare how people learn functions over different (i.e., spatial and conceptual) domains (Wu, Schulz, Garvert, Meder, & Schuck, 2018), comparing functional inference over conceptual and spatial graphs seems like promising extension for future studies.…”
Section: Future Work and Limitationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This work fits well with the current study, where humans spontaneously form task-sets comprised of category-response associations, perhaps as a result of inferring structure from the environment (cf. Wilson and Niv, 2012;Rothe et al, 2018). Moreover, this proposal has been expanded to account for differences in memory (cf.…”
Section: Relationship To Reinforcement Learningmentioning
confidence: 99%