Predicting how both spatial and temporal variation in sea and air temperature influence the distribution of intertidal organisms is a pressing issue. We used data from satellites, weather stations and in situ loggers to test the hypothesis that satellite-derived sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and weather station air temperatures provide accurate estimates of ambient temperature variability on rocky intertidal shores for temporal (hourly for 1 yr) and spatial (10 m to 400 km) variation along the southeast coast of Australia. We also tested whether satellites and weather stations accurately detect the duration, frequency and number of extreme temperature events. Daily mean satellite SSTs and weather station air temperatures were significantly and strongly correlated with intertidal water and air temperatures, respectively (water: r 2 = 0.62, air: r 2 = 0.63). Nevertheless, depending on location, daily satellite SSTs were up to 6.7°C, and on average 1°C, higher than in situ water temperatures, while daily maximum air temperatures measured by weather stations were up to 23.2°C, and on average 4.2°C, lower than in situ air temperatures. At all locations, the frequency, duration and number of days greater than 30°C, as well as rates of temperature change, were all significantly lower when measured by weather stations. These differences suggest that satellite SSTs and weather stations are ineffective at capturing extremes in intertidal water and air temperature variability. We reinforce the argument that in situ measurements that focus on biologically relevant variation are the only legitimate means of predicting the effects of temperature change on intertidal taxa.
KEY WORDS:Temperature data logger · Intertidal invertebrate · Remote sensing · Climate change · Extreme temperature events
Resale or republication not permitted without written consent of the publisherMar Ecol Prog Ser 439: 83-95, 2011 84 mussels and barnacles compared to water temperatures during high tide (Hofmann & Somero 1995, Somero 2002. Therefore, both air and water measurements are required to characterise the thermal environment of rocky intertidal shores.Several ecological studies have previously used satellite-derived SSTs to characterise the thermal environment of intertidal habitats (Barry et al. 1995, Broitman et al. 2001, Lagos et al. 2005, Herbert et al. 2007. Studies have shown that satellite-derived SSTs are highly correlated with daily in situ measurements of SST (Keogh et al. 1999, Barton & Pearce 2006, Smale & Wernberg 2009); nevertheless, satellite-derived SSTs are unlikely to reflect the variability of the temperature regimes experienced by the vast majority of rocky intertidal organisms (Helmuth & Hofmann 2001). Indeed, Helmuth & Hofmann (2001) found that aerial body temperatures of the mussel Mytilus californianus varied independently of water temperatures and suggested that water temperatures by themselves should not be used as a measure of temperature stress for intertidal organisms.Numerous factors operating across bot...