Objective
To study the risk of vaginal cancer among hysterectomised women with and without cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN).
Design
Population‐based national cohort study.
Setting and population
All Swedish women, 5 million in total, aged 20 and up, 1987–2011 using national registries.
Methods
The study cohort was subdivided into four exposure groups: hysterectomised with no previous history of CIN3 and without prevalent CIN at hysterectomy; hysterectomised with a history of CIN3/adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS); hysterectomised with prevalent CIN at hysterectomy; non‐hysterectomised.
Main outcome measure
Vaginal cancer.
Results
We identified 898 incident cases of vaginal cancer. Women with prevalent CIN at hysterectomy and those with a history of CIN3/AIS had incidence rates (IR) of vaginal cancer of 51.3 (95% CI 34.4–76.5) and 17.1 (95% CI 12.5–23.4) per 100 000, respectively. Age‐adjusted IR‐ratios (IRRs) compared with hysterectomised women with benign cervical history were 21.0 (95% CI 13.4–32.9) and 5.81 (95% CI 4.00–8.43), respectively. IR for non‐hysterectomised women was 0.87 (95% CI 0.81–0.93) and IRR was 0.37 (95% CI 0.30–0.46). In hysterectomised women with prevalent CIN, the IR remained high after 15 years of follow up: 65.7 (95% CI 21.2–203.6).
Conclusions
Our findings suggest that hysterectomised women with prevalent CIN at surgery should be offered surveillance. Hysterectomised women without the studied risk factors have a more than doubled risk of contracting vaginal cancer compared with non‐hysterectomised women in the general population. Still, the incidence rate does not justify screening.
Tweetable abstract
High risk of contracting vaginal cancer among hysterectomised women having prevalent CIN at surgery.