Sustainable development in Pakistan in the context of energy consumption demand and environmental degradation

Alam, Shaista; Fatima, Ambreen; Butt, Muhammad Sabihuddin

doi:10.1016/j.asieco.2007.07.005

Cited by 165 publications

(76 citation statements)

References 19 publications

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“…Similarly, fair competition among potential private distributors may turn out as catalyst for growth of energy in the country. Outside the period of civil war, rapid urbanisation is attributable to developing countries that can either positively influence an economy through technological creativity and economic progress or negatively impact the economy via its effect on straining infrastructures (Alam et al 2007). It is left for policymakers and planners to shape urbanization policies in such a way as to make it a positive force for economic development, especially when pursuing energy expansionist programmes.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Trivariate causality between economic growth, urbanisation and electricity consumption in Angola: Cointegration and causality analysis

2013

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This paper investigates the causal relationship between economic growth, urbanisation and electricity consumption in the case of Angola, utilizing the data over the period of . We have applied Strazicich (2003, 2004) unit root test to test the stationarity properties of the series. Gregory-Hansen structural break cointegration procedure as complement, we employed the ARDL bounds test to examine long run relationship. The VECM Granger causality test is subsequently used to examine the direction of causality between economic growth, urbanisation and electricity consumption. Our results indicate the existence of long run relationship. We further observe evidence in favour of bidirectional causality between electricity consumption and economic growth. The feedback hypothesis is also found between urbanization and economic growth. Urbanization and electricity consumption Granger cause each other. We conclude that Angola is an energy (electricity) dependent country. Consequently, the relevant authorities should boost electricity production as one of the means of achieving sustainable economic development for long span of time.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…It is both driven by and intensely determines the processes and context of economic development (Alam et al, 2007). Urbanization leads to substantial concentration of population generating economic activities; and thus increases the demand for energy.…”

Section: Methodological Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

Trivariate causality between economic growth, urbanisation and electricity consumption in Angola: Cointegration and causality analysis

2013

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“…The energy demand is a function of various factors such as real income, relative prices and structure of the economy, the available technology and lifestyle [53]. Economic growth is closely related to growth in energy consumption because more energy used result the higher the economic growth [54]. Like other developing countries, Pakistan is also growing energy intensive economy, as such, the per capita energy consumption is increasing with time as shown in Table 3.…”

Section: Economic Growth and Energy Consumptionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Alam, Fatima and Butt [54] indicated that a 1% increase in economic growth, in the long run, will increase CO2 emissions by up to 0.84%. Ali and Abbas [68] have A large number of studies have been undertaken to test the relationship of demand (consumption) of different energy commodities i.e., electricity, oil, natural gas, coal with various economic indicators.…”

Section: Economic Growth and Energy Consumptionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An Integrated Modeling Approach for Forecasting Long-Term Energy Demand in Pakistan

et al. 2017

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Abstract:Energy planning and policy development require an in-depth assessment of energy resources and long-term demand forecast estimates. Pakistan, unfortunately, lacks reliable data on its energy resources as well do not have dependable long-term energy demand forecasts. As a result, the policy makers could not come up with an effective energy policy in the history of the country. Energy demand forecast has attained greatest ever attention in the perspective of growing population and diminishing fossil fuel resources. In this study, Pakistan's energy demand forecast for electricity, natural gas, oil, coal and LPG across all the sectors of the economy have been undertaken. Three different energy demand forecasting methodologies, i.e., Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Holt-Winter and Long-range Energy Alternate Planning (LEAP) model were used. The demand forecast estimates of each of these methods were compared using annual energy demand data. The results of this study suggest that ARIMA is more appropriate for energy demand forecasting for Pakistan compared to Holt-Winter model and LEAP model. It is estimated that industrial sector's demand shall be highest in the year 2035 followed by transport and domestic sectors. The results further suggest that energy fuel mix will change considerably, such that oil will be the most highly consumed energy form (38.16%) followed by natural gas (36.57%), electricity (16.22%), coal (7.52%) and LPG (1.52%) in 2035. In view of higher demand forecast of fossil fuels consumption, this study recommends that government should take the initiative for harnessing renewable energy resources for meeting future energy demand to not only avert huge import bill but also achieving energy security and sustainability in the long run.

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“…A number of researchers have examined the role of factors such as energy consumption (Ang, 2007;Alam, Fatima, & Butt, 2007), foreign trade (Halicioglu, 2009), electricity consumption growth and population growth (Tol, Pacala, & Socolow, 2006), human resources and capital (Soytas, Sari, & Ewing, 2007) on the environment. Financial development has been considered as one of the effective factors on the environment.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of Financial Development on the Environmental Quality in Iran

2014

CBR

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In recent decades, undesirable environmental changes, such as global warming and greenhouse gases emission, have raised worldwide concerns. In order to achieve higher growth rate, environmental problems emerged from economic activities have turned into a controversial issue. The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of financial development on environmental quality in Iran. For this purpose, the statistical data over the period from 1970 to 2011 were used. Also by using the Auto Regression Model Distributed Lag (ARDL), short-term and long-term relationships among the variables of model were estimated and analyzed. The results show that financial development accelerates the degradation of the environment; however, the increase in trade openness reduces the damage to environment in Iran. Error correction coefficient shows that in each period, 53% of imbalances would be justified and will approach their long-run procedure. Structural stability tests show that the estimated coefficients were stable over the period.

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Sustainable development in Pakistan in the context of energy consumption demand and environmental degradation

Cited by 165 publications

References 19 publications

Trivariate causality between economic growth, urbanisation and electricity consumption in Angola: Cointegration and causality analysis

Trivariate causality between economic growth, urbanisation and electricity consumption in Angola: Cointegration and causality analysis

An Integrated Modeling Approach for Forecasting Long-Term Energy Demand in Pakistan

Impact of Financial Development on the Environmental Quality in Iran

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