2012
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2024329
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Systematic Risk, Debt Maturity, and the Term Structure of Credit Spreads

Abstract: We build a dynamic capital structure model to study the link between systematic risk exposure and debt maturity, as well as their joint impact on the term structure of credit spreads. Our model allows for time variation and lumpiness in the maturity structure. Relative to short-term debt, long-term debt is less prone to rollover risks, but its illiquidity raises the costs of financing. The risk premium embedded in the bankruptcy costs causes firms with high systematic risk to favour longer debt maturity, as we… Show more

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Cited by 41 publications
(35 citation statements)
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“…The higher the rollover frequency is and the more the firm relies on collateralized short-term funding, the more it is exposed to liquidity risk and hence the higher the firm's credit spread is. Our results also support the findings in Chen et al (2012) who regress the credit spread of corporate bonds on the share of long-term bonds close to maturity in 2008 and find a large and positive beta. They show that a high-leverage firm with short maturity has a much higher credit spread in a recession.…”
Section: Debt Structure and Credit Spreadsupporting
confidence: 90%
“…The higher the rollover frequency is and the more the firm relies on collateralized short-term funding, the more it is exposed to liquidity risk and hence the higher the firm's credit spread is. Our results also support the findings in Chen et al (2012) who regress the credit spread of corporate bonds on the share of long-term bonds close to maturity in 2008 and find a large and positive beta. They show that a high-leverage firm with short maturity has a much higher credit spread in a recession.…”
Section: Debt Structure and Credit Spreadsupporting
confidence: 90%
“…On the liability side, Mian and Santos (2011), Erel et al (2012), and Chen et al (2012) document shortening of debt maturities on firms' liability sides during downturns.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This paper proposes an alternative story specific to banks, where the trade‐off is driven by possible fire sales and the liquidity preference of creditors. A similar mechanism is explored by Chen, Xu, and Yang (), who model maturity choice as determined by rollover risk due to debt overhang and investors' exposure to liquidity needs.…”
Section: Related Literaturementioning
confidence: 96%
“…This indirect effect is closely linked to the point on maturity and systematic risk in Chen, Xu, and Yang (). In their dynamic model, firms with high systematic risk exposure choose a longer debt maturity.…”
mentioning
confidence: 96%