TAG: A time-dependent, autoregressive, Gaussian model for generating synthetic hourly radiation

Aguiar, R.; Collares-Pereira, Manuel

doi:10.1016/0038-092x(92)90068-l

Cited by 226 publications

(97 citation statements)

References 12 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Model generated values for the hourly clearness index k t (using measured daily average cloudiness) were calculated using equation 37. Values of k t were also generated using the Aguiar and Collares-Pereira TAG algorithm [14]. The distribution of both these synthetic datasets were compared to measurement derived values of k t ( Figure 6).…”

Section: Hourly Irradiancementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Both Graham and Hollands [13] and Aguiar and Collares-Pereira [14] developed well known algorithms to synthesise hourly data from daily average clearness index values, with time of day dependent probability distributions. The Aguiar and Collares-Pereira [14] algorithm, called the TAG algorithm, claims better statistical consistency between the synthetic data and measured data for clearer months.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The Aguiar and Collares-Pereira [14] algorithm, called the TAG algorithm, claims better statistical consistency between the synthetic data and measured data for clearer months. Also, since a wider range of locations were used to develop the TAG algorithm, it may perhaps be more widely applicable.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Hontoria et al [2] developed an ANN model based on data from several locations in Spain, and found that their model matched the measured data more closely than either the Graham and Hollands [13] or Aguiar and Collares-Pereira [14] models. However Reikard [16] reported mixed results, with ANN models significantly outperforming autoregressive models only at higher temporal resolutions, in the order of a few minutes.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Lanini [22] points out that stratospheric sulphate aerosol content is higher in the Northern hemisphere, increasing the diffuse fraction. Hence a new model was developed that is a combination of the approaches of Yang and Koike [20] and Aguiar and Collares-Pereira [14]. Firstly, equations to estimate the theoretical clear sky values for beam, diffuse, and reflected radiation were obtained from previous studies.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 4 more Smart Citations

A method for generating synthetic hourly solar radiation data for any location in the south west of Western Australia, in a world wide web page

2014

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

An algorithm was developed to generate synthetic hourly cloudiness data for any time of the year at any location in the south west region of Western Australia (WA). To enable the algorithm to be used for simulation of the power output of both tilted photovoltaic and concentrating solar power systems, a metric of cloudiness was defined which modifies the clear sky beam, diffuse and reflected solar transmittance. Seasonally and positionally adjusted values of daily cloudiness were generated by roughly mimicking the geographic pattern of annual rainfall in WA. Rather than longitude and latitude, distance along the coastline and distance inland from the coast were used as the positional coordinates. Hourly cloudiness data was generated from the daily values using a first order autoregression algorithm with time varying mean and standard deviation. Two years of measured hourly horizontal solar irradiance data from a network of 31 weather stations was used to calibrate the algorithm. The algorithm was simple enough to run inside a world wide web page and has the potential to be adapted to other regions with a similar pattern of declining inland rainfall.

show abstract

Section: Hourly Irradiancementioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 3 more Smart Citations

A method for generating synthetic hourly solar radiation data for any location in the south west of Western Australia, in a world wide web page

2014

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

Stochastic study of hourly total solar radiation in Corsica using a Markov model

et al. 2000

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Static and Dynamic Characteristic Models of Global Solar Radiation Fluctuation in the Scope of Load Frequency Control

Akatsuka

Hara

Kita

et al. 2013

Electrical Engineering Japan

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Penetration of photovoltaic (PV) generation system into the power system may have some negative effects on stable operations of the power system; for example, on frequency control. Therefore, investigation of the shortterm fluctuations of PV generation is important as a precaution for further PV penetration. Since PV generation is approximately proportional to the incident solar radiation, this paper develops static and dynamic characteristic models for short-term fluctuations of global solar radiation. The static characteristic model is a set of standard deviations which have been statistically estimated based on past observed data. The dynamic characteristic model consists of autoregressive models which are designed for actually observed time-sequential short-term fluctuation data. In both models, the clearness index is used to eliminate seasonal variation of solar radiation.

show abstract

TAG: A time-dependent, autoregressive, Gaussian model for generating synthetic hourly radiation

Cited by 226 publications

References 12 publications

A method for generating synthetic hourly solar radiation data for any location in the south west of Western Australia, in a world wide web page

A method for generating synthetic hourly solar radiation data for any location in the south west of Western Australia, in a world wide web page

Stochastic study of hourly total solar radiation in Corsica using a Markov model

Static and Dynamic Characteristic Models of Global Solar Radiation Fluctuation in the Scope of Load Frequency Control

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About