Temperature response to future urbanization and climate change

Argüeso, Daniel; Evans, Jason P.; Fita, L.; Bormann, K. J.

doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1789-6

Cited by 248 publications

(206 citation statements)

References 42 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

190

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Impervious urban structures have a higher heat capacity that can store more energy during the daytime and release the heat slowly at night. The low sky view factor also delayed the loss of heat through multiple reflections and the trapping of nearsurface air in urban areas (Argüeso, Evans, Fita, & Bormann, 2013). However, the opposite is true over rural areas.…”

Section: Effect Of Urban Expansion On the Uhimentioning

confidence: 92%

Response of urban heat island to future urban expansion over the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei metropolitan area

et al. 2016

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Keywords:Urban heat island Urban expansion Land use/land cover BeijingeTianjineHebei metropolitan area Weather research and forecast model a b s t r a c t Urban expansion plays a dominant role in the urban heat island (UHI) formation and is thus the essence and fundamental characteristic of the urban fabric. In this study, the responses of UHI to the urban expansion in the past decades were simulated using the coupled weather research forecast/urban canopy model (WRF/UCM) system from the 1980s to 2005 and in the future in 2050 embedded with the fine spatial resolution land use/land cover (LULC) datasets over the BeijingeTianjineHebei (BTH) metropolitan area. With the urban expansion, the validations suggested that the designed models in this research can well simulate the generation and development of UHI. Due to urban expansion, the minimum temperature would rise by about 5 K in the newly developed areas. The temperature over the old urban areas would also increase (<1 K) because of the surrounding newly developed urban areas. The footprint of urban growth, in particular the minimum temperature, was clearly captured in the three scenarios by almost all the variables. These results were quite interesting, and it indicated a more uncomfortable urban environment in the future, especially at night, when the temperature changes are larger due to urban expansion.

show abstract

Section: Effect Of Urban Expansion On the Uhimentioning

confidence: 92%

Response of urban heat island to future urban expansion over the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei metropolitan area

et al. 2016

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…A report in The Lancet in 2015 pointed out that climate change seriously threatens global health and warned that, without a rapid response, the achievements of human development from the latter half of the last century will have been in vain, suggesting that the best opportunity for saving global health in the 21st century is a rapid response to climate change (Wang and Horton, 2015). Climate change has also been found to lead to a global increase in the probability of extreme weather, with an intensified urban heat island effect (Argüeso et al, 2014;Corburn, 2009). Future sea level rises caused by climate change will inevitably affect urbanization in coastal regions, with large areas of land being submerged and prone to severe flooding, which will affect production and energy resources, causing further environmental problems (Castan Broto and Bulkeley, 2013;Gu et al, 2011).…”

Section: Interactive Coupling Between Urbanization and Climatementioning

confidence: 99%

International progress and evaluation on interactive coupling effects between urbanization and the eco-environment

2016

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Global urbanization is exerting severe stress and having far-reaching impacts on the eco-environment, and yet there exists a complex non-linear coupling relationship between the two. Research on the interactive coupling effect between urbanization and the eco-environment will be a popular area of study and frontier in international earth system science and sustainability science in the next 10 years, while also being a high-priority research topic of particular interest to international organizations. This paper systematically collates and summarizes the international progress made in research on interactive coupling theory, coupling relationships, coupling mechanisms, coupling laws, coupling thresholds, coupling models and coupling optimization decision support systems. The research shows that urbanization and eco-environment interactive coupling theories include the Kuznets curve theory, telecoupling theory, planetary boundaries theory, footprint family theory and urban metabolism theory; most research on interactive coupling relationships is concerned with single-element coupling relationships, such as those between urbanization and water, land, atmosphere, climate change, ecosystems and biodiversity; the majority of research on interactive coupling mechanisms and laws focuses on five research paradigms, including coupled human and nature systems, complex social-ecological systems, urban ecosystems, social-economic-natural complex ecosystems, and urbanization development and eco-environment constraint ring; the majority of interactive coupling simulations use STIRPAT models, coupling degree models, multi-agent system models and big data urban computer models; and research has been carried out on urbanization and eco-environment coupling thresholds, coercing risk and optimal decision support systems. An objective evaluation of progress in international research on interactive coupling between urbanization and the eco-environment suggests that there are six main research focal points and six areas lacking research: a lot of research exists on macroscopic coupling effects, with little research on urban agglomeration and scale coupling effects; considerable research exists on sin-

show abstract

“…Although the majority of heat-related mortality projections to date have focused on impacts owing to greenhouse gas-induced climate change (e.g., Hayhoe Knowlton et al, 2007;Ostro et al, 2011;Petkova et al, 2013), recent results suggest that urban-induced climate change has similar order-of-magnitude climate effects on the spatial scales of human significance (Georgescu et al, 2013(Georgescu et al, , 2014Argüeso et al, 2014). Accounting for impacts due to large-scale climate change, while neglecting regional climate impacts owing to rapidly expanding urban areas, will therefore provide incorrect quantitative assessment of climate change consequences for heat-related mortality.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Challenges associated with projecting urbanization-induced heat-related mortality

Hondula

Georgescu

Balling

2014

Science of The Total Environment

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Temperature response to future urbanization and climate change

Cited by 248 publications

References 42 publications

Response of urban heat island to future urban expansion over the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei metropolitan area

Response of urban heat island to future urban expansion over the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei metropolitan area

International progress and evaluation on interactive coupling effects between urbanization and the eco-environment

Challenges associated with projecting urbanization-induced heat-related mortality

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About