Temporal Rainfall Variations Induce Forecast Errors in Rainfed Agriculture in the Brazilian State of Ceará, Brazil
Jose de Jesus Sousa Lemos,
Filomena Nadia Rodrigues Bezerra,
Elizama Cavalcante Paiva
et al.
Abstract:The research aims to: a) assess the instabilities associated with rainfall and the variables that define the production of rice, beans, cassava and corn in the state of Ceará between 1945 and 2020; b) estimate models that can be used to make projections of harvested areas, yields and prices for these crops between 1945 and 2020; c) assess the impact of rainfall on the estimated forecasting models; d) assess how rainfall affects the likelihood of farmers making forecasts of the variables that define agricultura… Show more
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