The 1998 French regional elections: why so much political instability?

The Effect that Structural and Investment Funds have on Voter Behaviour in European Parliamentary Elections

“…Previous research has demonstrated this effect in Canada (Gelineau and Balenger, ), Spain (Bosch, ; Queralt, ), and France (Jerome and Lewis‐Beck, ; Jerome and Jerome‐Speziari, ). In particular, Jerome and Jerome‐Speziari () note that France's relatively low levels of local government spending result in national government expenditures accounting for more than 81 per cent of total government expenditures. This allows national incumbents to be held accountable for the stewardship of the economy in local elections.…”

“…Usage of regional economic statistics creates a rather unorthodox assumption about the economic vote: that the electorate relies on local economic conditions to cast accountability towards the national incumbent in a supranational electoral setting. Past work, however, has suggested that the economic vote may cross levels of government (Jerome and Jerome‐Speziari, ), and that voters can perceive economic conditions as how people like themselves are faring (Ansolabehere et al ., ).…”

Cohabitation and Conflicting Politics in French Policymaking

“…And in fact, they have good reasons to do so. Previous research has indeed showed that in the French case, local elections send national message and are rather good predictor of the parties' success in national campaigns (Jérôme and Lewis-Beck, 1999;Jérôme and Jérôme -Speziari, 2000). Table 3.5 lists the electoral scores of the parties of the majorité plurielle and the conservative block 37 for the first round of each election held between the 1997 legislative elections and the 2002 presidential elections.…”

Election forecasting in Lithuania: The case of municipal elections

“…Rallings and colleagues provide forecasting models for general local elections in the United Kingdom based on the results of by-elections (Rallings & Thrasher, 1999;Rallings, Thrasher, Borisyuk, & Long, 2011). Furthermore, other researchers argue that the results of local elections can be explained by nationallevel political and economic factors, with evidence from local elections in France (Jérôme & Jérôme-Speziari, 2000;Jérôme & Lewis-Beck, 1999). However, it must be noted that the above-mentioned studies focus on the forecasting/explanation of the national-level results of local elections.…”