The 2013 extreme flood within the Amur basin: Analysis of flood formation, assessments and recommendations

Болгов, М. В.; Alekseevskii, N. I.; Гарцман, Б. И.; Georgievskii, V. Yu.; Dugina, I. O.; Kim, V. I.; Махинов, А. Н.; Shalygin, A. L.

doi:10.1134/s1875372815030026

Cited by 14 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 2 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…However, the catastrophic flood of 2013, which lasted over two months, became the largest flood in the Amur River basin for the last hundred years [24,[38][39][40] and demonstrated the limitations of dams to protect the population. In Russia, tens of thousands of people were evacuated and many lost homes.…”

Section: Socioeconomic Reasoning For Dam Buildingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Environmental Flow Releases for Wetland Biodiversity Conservation in the Amur River Basin

Nikitina¹,

Дубинина²,

Болгов

et al. 2020

Water

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Flow regulation by large dams has transformed the freshwater and floodplain ecosystems of the Middle Amur River basin in Northeast Asia, and negatively impacted the biodiversity and fisheries. This study aimed to develop environmental flow recommendations for the Zeya and Bureya rivers based on past flow rate records. The recommended floodplain inundation by environmental flow releases from the Zeya reservoir are currently impracticable due to technical reasons. Therefore, the importance of preserving the free-flowing tributaries of the Zeya River increases. Future technical improvements for implementing environmental flow releases at the Zeya dam would improve dam management regulation during large floods. The recommendations developed for environmental flow releases from reservoirs on the Bureya River should help to preserve the important Ramsar wetlands which provide habitats for endangered bird species while avoiding flooding of settlements. The results emphasize the importance of considering environmental flow during the early stages of dam planning and the need to enhance the role of environmental flow in water management planning.

show abstract

Section: Socioeconomic Reasoning For Dam Buildingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Environmental Flow Releases for Wetland Biodiversity Conservation in the Amur River Basin

Nikitina¹,

Дубинина²,

Болгов

et al. 2020

Water

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…The cause of the historic flood of 2013 for the entire Lower Amur (46,000 m 3 /s) was a high degree of synchronicity in the development and reach of flood waves from almost the entire territory of the Amur basin. The main role in the formation of the maximum discharge near Khabarovsk was played by the Zeysko-Bureya (30%), Ussuri (29%), and Sungari (24%) sources [3,4].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…As it developed, the flood covered the Jewish Autonomous Region and the Khabarovsk Territory. The main Amur flood, moving downstream, accepted large amounts of water from the main southern tributaries -the Sungari (PRC), Ussuri, as well as numerous small tributaries [5]. Figure 2 shows a comparative description of two floods -the flood of 1984, the last of the observed catastrophic ones, and 2013.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Forecast of Catastrophic Floods Based on Hydrodynamic Modeling: The 2013 Flood on the Amur River Case Study

Buber,

Bolgov

2024

Sustainable Development

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

In 2013, a catastrophic flood occurred on the Amur River, caused by heavy rainfall throughout almost the entire basin. The floodplains of Blagoveshchensk, Khabarovsk, and Komsomolsk-on-Amur were flooded. Similar hydrological phenomena on the Amur occurred earlier (1954, 1972, and 1984), but they did not lead to catastrophic flooding. In the proposed manuscript, the authors investigated three issues: the causes of the 2013 flood, advanced hydrological forecast, and measures to prevent catastrophic flooding. For research, a hydrodynamic model of the Amur River section from Blagoveshchensk to the mouth was developed. Based on the analysis of model calculations, it was shown that some flood problems arose due to the construction of hydraulic structures in recent years (protective dams, bridges, and embankments) and a medium-term forecast scheme proposed.

show abstract

“…However, for example, a large-scale flood occurred over the entire Amur River basin in the period of July-September 2013, which became a national disaster. It is shown in [13,14] that this flood was the result of an extremely rare combination of unfavorable hydrometeorological factors: the formation of a high-altitude frontal zone, along which deep, moisture-saturated cyclones continuously moved for two months, and high pressure blocking over the Pacific Northwest, which prevented the movement of these cyclones from the continent towards the Sea of Okhotsk. The result of such synoptic macroprocesses was the formation of extremes, both in terms of volume and duration of rainfall, on a scale of almost the entire basin.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Process-Based Modeling of the High Flow of a Semi-Mountain River under Current and Future Climatic Conditions: A Case Study of the Iya River (Eastern Siberia)

Kalugin

2021

Water

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The purpose of the study was to analyze the formation conditions of catastrophic floods in the Iya River basin over the observation period, as well as a long-term forecast of the impacts of future climate change on the characteristics of the high flow in the 21st century. The semi-distributed process-based Ecological Model for Applied Geophysics (ECOMAG) was applied to the Iya River basin. Successful model testing results were obtained for daily discharge, annual peak discharge, and discharges exceeding the critical water level threshold over the multiyear period of 1970–2019. Modeling of the high flow of the Iya River was carried out according to a Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE) of 0.91, a percent bias (PBIAS) of −1%, and a ratio of the root mean square error to the standard deviation of measured data (RSR) of 0.41. The preflood coefficient of water-saturated soil and the runoff coefficient of flood-forming precipitation in the Iya River basin were calculated in 1980, 1984, 2006, and 2019. Possible changes in the characteristics of high flow over summers in the 21st century were calculated using the atmosphere–ocean general circulation model (AOGCM) and the Hadley Centre Global Environment Model version 2-Earth System (HadGEM2-ES) as the boundary conditions in the runoff generation model. Anomalies in values were estimated for the middle and end of the current century relative to the observed runoff over the period 1990–2019. According to various Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP-scenarios) of the future climate in the Iya River basin, there will be less change in the annual peak discharge or precipitation and more change in the hazardous flow and its duration, exceeding the critical water level threshold, at which residential buildings are flooded.

show abstract

The 2013 extreme flood within the Amur basin: Analysis of flood formation, assessments and recommendations

Cited by 14 publications

References 2 publications

Environmental Flow Releases for Wetland Biodiversity Conservation in the Amur River Basin

Environmental Flow Releases for Wetland Biodiversity Conservation in the Amur River Basin

Forecast of Catastrophic Floods Based on Hydrodynamic Modeling: The 2013 Flood on the Amur River Case Study

Process-Based Modeling of the High Flow of a Semi-Mountain River under Current and Future Climatic Conditions: A Case Study of the Iya River (Eastern Siberia)

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About