2001
DOI: 10.2307/3552471
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The Accumulation of Public Debt in Canada

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“…In this section we decompose the well-known identity describing the accumulation of public debt along the lines suggested by Fortin (1996) and Kneebone and Leach (2001). Fortin's objective was to disentangle the relative importance of the following three factors to debt accumulation: (i) over-generous programme spending and lax tax policy (and administration) leading to a primary deficit even if the economy is operating at potential output; (ii) primary deficits arising as a result of output being below potential (due to the influence of automatic stabilizers), either because it has been subjected to unfavourable external shocks or because stabilization policies have been inadequate; (iii) the (real) interest rate exceeding the GDP growth rate, so that the debt ratio would rise even if programme spending and revenues are equal, as new debt would have to be issued to make the interest payments on the existing debt.…”
Section: Debt and Deficit Decompositionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…In this section we decompose the well-known identity describing the accumulation of public debt along the lines suggested by Fortin (1996) and Kneebone and Leach (2001). Fortin's objective was to disentangle the relative importance of the following three factors to debt accumulation: (i) over-generous programme spending and lax tax policy (and administration) leading to a primary deficit even if the economy is operating at potential output; (ii) primary deficits arising as a result of output being below potential (due to the influence of automatic stabilizers), either because it has been subjected to unfavourable external shocks or because stabilization policies have been inadequate; (iii) the (real) interest rate exceeding the GDP growth rate, so that the debt ratio would rise even if programme spending and revenues are equal, as new debt would have to be issued to make the interest payments on the existing debt.…”
Section: Debt and Deficit Decompositionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Would it be sensible to assume, in this case, that a responsible government should aim for programme spending to be equal to revenue (i.e., for a zero structural component)? Kneebone and Leach (2001) have suggested that if the period is long enough then the debt ratio could rise significantly even if the structural component is zero…”
Section: Debt and Deficit Decompositionmentioning
confidence: 99%