“…It has already been used successfully to forecast the phenology of various fruit pests such as codling moth and Oriental fruit moth, Grapholita molesta Busck (Welch et al, 1978;Croft & Knight, 1983), summer fruit tortrix, Adoxophyes orana F. v. R. (Baumg€ artner & Charmillot, 1983), rosy apple aphid, Dysaphis plantaginea Pass. (Graf et al, 1985(Graf et al, , 2006, apple sawfly, Hoplocampa testudinea Klug (Graf et al, 1996(Graf et al, , 2001a(Graf et al, , 2002b, smaller fruit tortrix, Grapholita lobarzewskii Nowicki (Graf et al, 1999(Graf et al, , 2015(Graf et al, , 2016, pear psylla, Cacopsylla pyri L. (Schaub et al, 2005), apple blossom weevil, Anthonomus pomorum L., and cherry fruit fly, Rhagoletis cerasi L. (Samietz et al, 2008). The driving variables of the model are hourly values of air temperature and solar radiation, where the latter is employed to emulate the temperature in the hibernation habitat (Graf et al, 2001b;Samietz et al, 2011).…”