The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI): What Will it Look Like in the Future?

Schulhof, Vera; Vuuren, Detlef van; Kirchherr, Julian

doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2021.121306

Cited by 48 publications

(18 citation statements)

References 126 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…In this (likely) return to "business as usual" perspective, it is important to see the BRI as an opportunity rather than a threat, provided that strong local partnerships are built. This International BRI scenario, as Schulhof et al (2022) call it, would mean an ability to overcome the pandemic shock, and then the shock of the Ukraine-Russia war, which is not won.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Logistical Foundations of China’s Global Expansion: Threat or Opportunity for the Mediterranean Area?

2022

AJM

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The Covid-19 health crisis, followed by the war between Russia and Ukraine, have highlighted the extent to which supply chains can be subject to external shocks that threaten the performance of global value chains. To cope with these disruptions and guarantee the continuity of logistical flows, China has embarked on an ambitious program to develop maritime and rail infrastructures, known as the One Belt, One Road project (or Belt and Road Initiative, BRI). This program aims to support China's strategy of global market expansion and transform the country into the world's leading power by 2049. The research note focuses on the specific case of the Mediterranean area, which has given rise to a massive investment strategy in ports under the BRI. There is a real threat that Chinese products will invade European markets, but it is possible to imagine that the BRI port facilities will also allow SMEs from the Mediterranean area to access these markets more easily. This research note proposes a reflection on the strategic issues of the BRI for the Mediterranean area in the coming years.

show abstract

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Logistical Foundations of China’s Global Expansion: Threat or Opportunity for the Mediterranean Area?

2022

AJM

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Therefore, the method of scenario building is feasible as it covers uncertainties and development options. In the context of the BRI, a first scenario analysis has been conducted (Schulhof et al, 2022) but the focus was on the overall BRI development. In addition to these initiatives, we describe the peculiarities of scenario building before preparing particular scenarios for the NSR regional integration.…”

Section: Methodology: Setting Up Scenarios In the Case Of The Nsrmentioning

confidence: 99%

Building Scenarios on the Regional Integration in Eurasia along the New Silk Road

Thees

Erschbamer

2022

Journal of Economic Integration

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Regions are gaining importance as globalization struggles with local sustainable implementation. Thus, regional integration assumes economic development based on transnational cooperation, including regionalization and regionalism. The New Silk Road (NSR) offers a set of policies (including the Belt and Road Initiative) for regional integration that faces challenges in geopolitics and geoeconomics with problems at the local and regional scale, especially along its core corridor, namely, the Eurasian Land Bridge. Therefore, we focus on the NSR implementation by examining the scenarios for future regional integration along the NSR in Eurasia. Using a stepwise scenario building method, including a literature review and qualitative interviews, four scenarios are outlined to explore regional cooperation and the impacts: from (1) withdrawal/reduction of the NSR towards (2) solo efforts by Chinese shareholders, (3) corridorintegration and finally, (4) deep regional integration. This study examines the interface between economic geography and international relations.

show abstract

“…The BRI is an effective avenue to promote social progress and is beneficial to achieve the 2030 SDGs. The Beijing Communique on “The Belt and Road” Health Cooperation and “Health Silk Road” (hereinafter referred to as Beijing Communique) released in 2017 puts forward the concept of building a “Health Silk Road”; the literature also takes the BRI as a health road [ 20 , 21 ]. Therefore, this section analyzes the effect of the BRI on social progress from the perspective of public health in three aspects., promoting public health through cooperation agreements between countries and international organizations; promoting public health expenditure through investment in health care and cooperation in disease and epidemic prevention and control; and promoting public health cooperation through social aid.…”

Section: Literature Review and Research Hypothesismentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Previous research documented that the BRI could make progress in the prevention and elimination of infectious diseases, such as human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), tuberculosis (TB), malaria and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), and neglected tropical diseases (NTDs) [ 23 ]. During the COVID-19 outbreak, China’s efforts to fight against the epidemic and the international cooperation platform provided by the BRI have also played an important role in the prevention and control of COVID-19 [ 20 ]. For example, China has established overseas centers for traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) in 35 countries along the route and built 43 bases for international cooperation in TCM.…”

Section: Literature Review and Research Hypothesismentioning

confidence: 99%

The Belt and Road Initiative, Public Health Expenditure and Economic Growth: Evidence from Quasi-Natural Experiments

Cao

Zhang

et al. 2022

IJERPH

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The United Nations 2030 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) involve society, economy, and environment, and the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is an important path to implement the SDGs. Moreover, the BRI is a vision for economic development of countries along the route. Although many studies documented the effect of the BRI on environment and economic performance, few studies have discussed the effect of the BRI on social and economic benefits. Therefore, we introduce the public health expenditure to explore the relationship between the BRI and the public health and economic growth of countries along the route from the dual perspective of social development and economic growth. Based on a panel data from 171 countries from 2010 to 2018, the current research explores whether the BRI can boost public health and promote economic growth in the belt-road countries. As a result, we found that the BRI boosted the expenditure of public health and effectively spurred economic growth in the belt-road countries. Furthermore, the effect of the BRI on the economic growth in the countries along the route depends on the level of public health expenditure in each country; the positive effect of the BRI on economic growth is significant when the public health expenditure level is moderate instead of low or high. The findings provide theoretical and practical insights into the SDGs of the BRI.

show abstract

The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI): What Will it Look Like in the Future?

Cited by 48 publications

References 126 publications

Logistical Foundations of China’s Global Expansion: Threat or Opportunity for the Mediterranean Area?

Logistical Foundations of China’s Global Expansion: Threat or Opportunity for the Mediterranean Area?

Building Scenarios on the Regional Integration in Eurasia along the New Silk Road

The Belt and Road Initiative, Public Health Expenditure and Economic Growth: Evidence from Quasi-Natural Experiments

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About