The causal relationship between female labor supply and fertility in the USA: updated evidence via a time series multi-horizon approach

Salamaliki, Paraskevi K.; Venetis, Ioannis A.; Giannakopoulos, Nicholas

doi:10.1007/s00148-012-0418-8

Cited by 13 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 39 publications

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“…This paper established the existence of cointegration for individual ASEAN-5 countries using time-series data and also for ASEAN in a panel context. Further, the Granger Causality test results using panel data for ASEAN-5 countries revealed bidirectional causality between female fertility and female labour force participation, thus validating findings in many other studies such as in studies done by for OECD countries and also Salamaliki et al (2013) for the United States. The findings of this study, though contradicts with the findings by Furuoka (2012), are considered more robust and reliable.…”

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 83%

“…Cheng and Nwachukwu (1997) found that for Japan, the causality runs from female fertility to female labour force participation, where women's employment do not hinder or reduce the probability of having more children, but having small children at home can discourage women from seeking employment outside. Salamaliki et al (2013) established a bidirectional indirect causality between female labour supply and fertility. Narayan and Smyth (2006) found that in the short run, there is unidirectional Granger causality running from fertility rate to female labour force participation while in the long run the fertility rate Granger cause female labour participation.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Causality Between Female Fertility and Female Labour Force Participation in Asean-5

Subramaniam

Majid

Loganathan

et al. 2018

JATI

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Researches on whether female fertility determines labour force participation or vice versa have reached mixed results. A high participation of females in the labour market can limit the family size, and conversely, low female fertility can free up their time and increase their participation in the labour market. As such, this paper sets out to answer the question of "What causes what?" Having established the existence of cointegration for Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, the Philippines and Indonesia (hereafter ASEAN-5) using time-series data for the 1980 to 2012 period and also for a panel for the ASEAN-5 countries, we found the presence of bidirectional causality between female fertility and female labour force participation. Other studies (Mishra & Smyth, 2010; Salamaliki, Venetis, & Giannakopoulos, 2013) concur with this results. We therefore conclude that for the ASEAN-5 countries to increase female labour force participation rate and offset fertility declines, there should be supportive policies in the form of more flexible labour market arrangements, better access to childcare and increased maternity benefits.

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Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 83%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Causality Between Female Fertility and Female Labour Force Participation in Asean-5

Subramaniam

Majid

Loganathan

et al. 2018

JATI

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“…Our analysis further o¤ers a comparison of the Granger causality results with the impulse response results obtained in Baker et al (2013) and also with other recent studies in the relevant 1 0 In addition, a recent application of the Dufour et al (2006) procedure may be found in Salamaliki, Venetis and Giannakopoulos (2013). …”

Section: Empirical Investigationsupporting

confidence: 63%

Economic Policy Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Focus on Infrequent Structural Shifts

Salamaliki

2015

SSRN Journal

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We provide new evidence on the role of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in aggregate real economic activity in the US using a multiplehorizon Granger causality framework, while allowing for infrequent shifts in mean levels and growth rates of the system variables. Our empirical investigation shows that the predictive ability of EPU for economic activity signi…cantly depends on the presence (or absence) of infrequent structural shifts and the absence from the information set of a forward looking variable such as the stock market level. We do not …nd economic policy uncertainty e¤ects on industrial production once we control for stock prices irrespective of segmented trends removal. There is some evidence that EPU anticipates employment in the short-run, yet, after removing rare events, EPU does not anticipate employment at any horizon. In contrast, the stock market level is found to contain strong predictive direct and indirect information for economic activity that is robust to the presence of infrequent trend breaks.

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“…Their study also found that for a subset of the group, specifically females aged 15-34, there is only a one-way causality, running from FLFP to fertility. In the US, Salamaliki et al (2013) found evidence in support of a bi-directional causality between fertility and FLFP for two groups of women, those aged between 25-34 and above 16. Cheng (1999) tested for a bi-directional link between fertility and FLFP in Taiwan but failed to find any significant connection between the two variables.…”

Section: A Fertilitymentioning

confidence: 98%

Does Economic Integration Increase Female Labour Force Participation? Some New Evidence From Vietnam

Narayan¹,

Nguyen²,

Nghiem³

2021

BEMP

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While several studies have, directly or indirectly, showed the importance of economic integration in job creation and destruction, direct empirical evidence for Female Labor Force Participation (FLFP) is still sparse. We take the case of Vietnam – a country that has come out of poverty largely due to her export-induced economic growth – and examine the impacts on FLFP of economic integration over the period 1999-2014. Our results suggest that Vietnam’s export sector, which relies heavily on foreign direct investment and free trade agreements, is an important contributor to FLFP. Economic integration with high-income countries (compared to middle- and low-income countries) was found to be most beneficial to FLFP in Vietnam. Our results also indicate that some traditional drivers of FLFP (such as fertility rate, health status, female adolescents out of secondary school, government education spending, and standard of living) became more (or less) important as Vietnam became more economically integrated.

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The causal relationship between female labor supply and fertility in the USA: updated evidence via a time series multi-horizon approach

Cited by 13 publications

References 39 publications

Causality Between Female Fertility and Female Labour Force Participation in Asean-5

Causality Between Female Fertility and Female Labour Force Participation in Asean-5

Economic Policy Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Focus on Infrequent Structural Shifts

Does Economic Integration Increase Female Labour Force Participation? Some New Evidence From Vietnam

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