2011
DOI: 10.1097/qad.0b013e3283448790
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The contribution of HIV-discordant relationships to new HIV infections in Rakai, Uganda

Abstract: We determined HIV incidence in the Rakai, cohort before (82/9311) and after (131/13082) the availability of antiretroviral therapy (ART). The proportions of total HIV infections pre- and post-ART were 18.3% and 13.7%, respectively, among identifiable HIV-discordant couples, 23.2% and 26.0%, respectively, in concordant HIV-negative couples, 29.3% and 17.6% in married persons with unknown partner status, and 29.3% and 42.7% in the unmarried. VCT targeting discordant couples is unlikely to have substantial impact… Show more

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Cited by 36 publications
(29 citation statements)
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“…This observation is not surprising, as partners only remain at risk for HIV acquisition from outside partners, a substantial driver of new infections in the region. 32,33 Understanding which HIV-uninfected women are at highest risk for HIV acquisition is critical as HIV incidence among pregnant women is high and may account for a substantial share of new pediatric HIV cases. 34,35 Understanding which HIV-uninfected women are at highest risk for HIV acquisition is the focus of a future analysis.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This observation is not surprising, as partners only remain at risk for HIV acquisition from outside partners, a substantial driver of new infections in the region. 32,33 Understanding which HIV-uninfected women are at highest risk for HIV acquisition is critical as HIV incidence among pregnant women is high and may account for a substantial share of new pediatric HIV cases. 34,35 Understanding which HIV-uninfected women are at highest risk for HIV acquisition is the focus of a future analysis.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In many societies, multiple sexual partners are condoned for men, while women are expected to remain faithful [14, 15], and unprotected sex with extramarital partners is a risk factor for HIV infection [16-22]. Wide age disparities between spouses (e.g >10 years age difference) could contribute to risk if younger women marry older men who are more likely to be infected, and age disparities could reduce a woman's ability to negotiate safer sex behaviors such as condom use increasing risk of HIV infection [23-25].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In Rakai, the risk of HIV acquisition per person was 0.5% (95% CI 0.3% to 0.8%) in round I prior to antiretroviral therapy availability among persons in concordant negative couples, versus 0.7% (95% CI 0.4% to 1.0%) among unmarried persons (over about 14 months of follow-up). These estimates were calculated from the data in Gray et al 5 In round II post antiretroviral therapy availability, it was 0.7% (95% CI 0.5% to 0.9%) versus 1.1% (95% CI 0.8% to 1.4%) (over about 18 months of follow-up). These values suggest that the risk of external infection among persons in stable couples is comparable, though possibly somewhat lower, than those among unmarried persons.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This issue has recently received much attention in light of the debate about the contribution of HIV sero-conversions among SDCs to the HIV epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). [3][4][5] Against this background, we constructed a mathematical model parameterised by state of the art empirical data to calculate the population-level fraction of new HIV-1 infections among SDCs that are due to sources external to the couple in 20 countries in SSA.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%