The COVID-19 Pandemic and US Presidential Elections

Brodeur, Abel; Baccini, Leonardo; Weymouth, Stephen

doi:10.31222/osf.io/sxajv

Cited by 3 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 16 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Twelve of these are articles on trust (e.g., Amat et al, 2020; Bol et al, 2021; De Vries et al, 2020). The remaining five focused on elections (e.g., the French election: Adam‐Troian et al, 2020; the American election: Brodeur et al, 2020). While most recent studies focused on one country (e.g., Germany: Bove & Riccardo, 2020; the Netherlands: Schraff, 2020; New Zealand: Sibley et al, 2020), some studies included a large number of countries (e.g., Bol et al, 2021; Han et al, 2020; Yam et al, 2020).…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Third, as for the articles on elections, many recent studies focused on only a few regions in their analyses (Fernandez‐Navia et al, 2020; Giommoni & Gabriel, 2020; Leininger & Schaub, 2020). Only Adam‐Troian et al (2020) and Brodeur et al (2020) conducted nationwide research on France and the United States of America, respectively. The number of confirmed cases is not uniformly distributed region by region within a country, however.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

The effect of trust in government on elections during the COVID‐19 pandemic in South Korea

Yoo

Kim³

2022

Asian Politics and Policy

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Recent studies focused on the pandemic's effect on elections, examining partial government interventions (e.g., lockdowns) or a specific area within a country. Governments have taken a variety of nationwide measures in reaction to the pandemic, and they may or may not be working in the best interests of citizens. If citizens believe that a government demonstrates competence, benevolence and honesty in making pandemic‐related decisions, trust in that government may grow, affecting election results. Using data for trust in government and nationwide elections during the pandemic in South Korea, we find that trust in government completely mediates the relationship between the number of confirmed cases of COVID‐19 and the results of elections (i.e., ruling party's win and vote share).

show abstract

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The effect of trust in government on elections during the COVID‐19 pandemic in South Korea

Yoo

Kim³

2022

Asian Politics and Policy

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…In particular, the COVID-19 pandemic and how President Trump has handled the response became a central controversy of his presidential term. It defined President Trump's reputation and leadership capabilities to many of the citizens of the United States, as many have stated or believed that the pandemic became the primary reason that Donald J. Trump lost the reelection to serve as President for a second term (Baccini, Brodeur, and Weymouth, 2020;Parker et. al., 2020).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Disparity in COVID Numbers: Simulation of Trump v. Obama

Lee

Oh²

2021

J Stud Res

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Previous studies of excess deaths and infections have come out about the coronavirus during President Donald J. Trump’s administration. With President Trump’s inactions, funding cuts, and statements underestimating the impact of COVID, there have been criticisms about how President Trump handled the coronavirus throughout his presidential term. It brings about the question -- What would the case number of COVID deaths and infections be like if President Barack H. Obama, the prior president, was in office? This study uses an open source Python simulation in order to estimate the number of COVID deaths and infections estimated under Trump and Obama’s administration. By doing a case study between the two, these results provide information regarding the number of lives that could potentially have been saved along with potential insight into finding preventative measures to save lives.

show abstract

COVID‐19 lockdown policy and national elections: A quasi‐experimental analysis of Ghana's 2020 Election

Ayifah

Ayifah²

2023

Int Social Sci J

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The COVID‐19 pandemic has undoubtedly had a significant adverse effect on world democracies, especially elections scheduled in 2020. Per constitutional requirements, Ghana's presidential and parliamentary elections were held on 7 December 2020. Using longitudinal national election data, we investigate the effect of the COVID‐19 lockdown policy on the number of registered voters, voter turnout and vote shares of the incumbent and main opposition parties. We took advantage of the partial lockdown that was imposed in some parts of the country and employed the difference‐in‐difference quasi‐experimental method. The results show that the COVID‐19 lockdown had a positive effect on the number of registered voters and a negative effect on voter turnout. In addition, we did not find any incumbency advantage or disadvantage resulting from the COVID‐19 lockdown but the COVID‐19 lockdown had a positive effect on the vote share of the opposition party. These results suggest the need for other voting methods such as early voting, increasing the number of polling stations/voting centres, electronic voting and vote‐by‐mail which involve lesser social interaction and hence may encourage electoral participation during health pandemics.

show abstract

The COVID-19 Pandemic and US Presidential Elections

Cited by 3 publications

References 16 publications

The effect of trust in government on elections during the COVID‐19 pandemic in South Korea

The effect of trust in government on elections during the COVID‐19 pandemic in South Korea

A Disparity in COVID Numbers: Simulation of Trump v. Obama

COVID‐19 lockdown policy and national elections: A quasi‐experimental analysis of Ghana's 2020 Election

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About