This paper analyzes the politics of paying for health care reform. It surveys the political strengths and weaknesses of major options to fund universal coverage and explores obstacles to changing how the United States finances health care. Finding a politically viable means to finance universal coverage remains a central barrier to enacting health reform. [Health Affairs 27, no. 6 (2008) H ow s h o u l d w e pay f o r h e a lt h r e f o r m ? That question has long defied any easy answers. It at first appears to be a straightforward issuewhere to find the $120 billion a year it would cost to cover the uninsured? 1 But it inevitably opens up a Pandora's box of politically explosive issues: who should pay for reform? How (much) should they pay? Who will emerge as the financial winners and losers? And how should the financing system be restructured? Reform proposals that seek ambitious system overhauls, so that universal coverage is funded through savings rather than additional spending, cannot evade these dilemmas. Such plans (for example, single payer) hold out the promise of health reform that pays for itself, yet they still require politically daunting changes in the financing status quo and the flow of medical dollars.Funding universal coverage, then, means introducing new funding sources and redistributing existing ones in a $2 trillion economic sector, and that triggers debates over taxes, the economy, and budgets. And therein lies a major reason why comprehensive health reform perennially fails in the United States: reformers have yet to fashion a politically acceptable solution for funding universal coverage that can win those debates. Indeed, the Clinton administration's ill-fated Health Secu- Jonathan Oberlander (oberland@med.unc.edu
) is an associate professor of social medicine and of health policy and administration at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.Downloaded from HealthAffairs.org on April 20, 2019.Copyright Project HOPE-The People-to-People Health Foundation, Inc. For personal use only. All rights reserved. Reuse permissions at HealthAffairs.org.rity Act imploded during 1993-94 largely because the administration could not secure a congressional majority for its financing strategy. This paper explores the politics of paying for health reform. I begin by briefly sketching out the political environment for financing reform. Next, I analyze the political feasibility of available funding options for universal coverage. Finally, I discuss the implications for health reform in 2009 and beyond.
The Political ContextHealth reformers looking for new revenues to pay for universal coverage face a difficult political environment. For starters, it is worth highlighting the status quo since it has proven so resistant to change. The United States currently finances medical care through a mix of public and private sources, via a wide array of funding instruments including employer-and employee-paid health insurance premiums, earmarked payroll taxes, federal and state general revenues, so-...