The Demographic Impact of a Female Deficit in China, 2000–2050

Attané, Isabelle

doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2006.00149.x

Cited by 38 publications

(25 citation statements)

References 13 publications

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“…4 No projection exists for India. Forecasts of China's future sex imbalances (Attané 2006;Tuljapurkar et al 1995) are based on 1990 or 2000 census data and on fixed fertility and mortality assumptions. Estimates provided by Jiang et al (2007) follow a more realistic demographic scenario.…”

Section: Impact Of Population Structures On Sex Imbalancesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Skewed Sex Ratios at Birth and Future Marriage Squeeze in China and India, 2005–2100

Guilmoto

2011

Demography

144

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I examine the potential impact of the anticipated future marriage squeeze on nuptiality patterns in China and India during the twenty-first century. I use population projections from 2005 to 2100 based on three different scenarios for the sex ratio at birth (SRB). To counteract the limitations of cross-sectional methods commonly used to assess the severity of marriage squeezes, I use a two-sex cohort-based procedure to simulate marriage patterns over the twenty-first century based on the female dominance model. I also examine two more-flexible marriage functions to illustrate the potential impact of changes in marriage schedules as a response to the marriage squeeze. Longitudinal indicators of marriage squeeze indicate that the number of prospective grooms in both countries will exceed that of prospective brides by more 50% for three decades in the most favorable scenario. Rates of male bachelorhood will not peak before 2050, and the squeeze conditions will be felt several decades thereafter, even among cohorts unaffected by adverse SRB. If the SRB is allowed to return to normalcy by 2020, the proportion of men unmarried at age 50 is expected to rise to 15% in China by 2055 and to 10% in India by 2065. India suffers from the additional impact of a delayed fertility transition on its age structures.

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Section: Impact Of Population Structures On Sex Imbalancesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Skewed Sex Ratios at Birth and Future Marriage Squeeze in China and India, 2005–2100

Guilmoto

2011

Demography

144

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“…In these circumstances, the decline in the proportion of female children resulting from sex-selective abortion and lethal neglect seems arguably as inevitable as fertility decline itself. It can be seen as an additional but temporary component of the process of demographic transition when it is accompanied by a strong son preference, and is likely to have an enduring effect on the growth and structure of the Chinese population (Cai and Lavely 2003;Attané 2006 …”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The determinants of discrimination against daughters in China: Evidence from a provincial-level analysis

Attané

2009

Population Studies

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This paper reports a provincial-level analysis of the way in which various socio-economic and socio-demographic determinants influence the decision to discriminate against daughters in China. While most existing studies use the infant or child sex ratio as the only variable to be explained, this study analyses separately the two main discriminatory practices: sex-selective abortion (with sex ratio at birth as a proxy) and neglect of girls' health care (with excess infant mortality among females as a proxy). The analysis helps to illuminate the circumstances that encourage sex-selective behaviours, which appear to be dictated mainly by extreme poverty, family support to the elderly, and father's education, together with the social pressure on couples to adhere to traditional values and roles and the constraints on family size. While sex-selective abortion appears to result from long-term strategies to optimize family composition, lethal neglect is the immediate result of economic constraints.

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“…China’s sex ratio at birth (hereafter SRB) has been consistently high since the 1980s, and many studies relate this male marriage squeeze to an imbalanced sex structure (Attané, 2006; Jiang et al, 2011a; Guilmoto, 2012; Jiang et al, 2014). The marriage squeeze is affected by not only sex structure but also age structure.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

China’s Marriage Squeeze: A Decomposition into Age and Sex Structure

Jiang

et al. 2015

Soc Indic Res

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Most recent studies of marriage patterns in China have emphasized the male-biased sex ratio but have largely neglected age structure as a factor in China’s male marriage squeeze. In this paper we develop an index we call “spousal sex ratio” (SSR) to measure the marriage squeeze, and a method of decomposing the proportion of male surplus into age and sex structure effects within a small spousal age difference interval. We project that China’s marriage market will be confronted with a relatively severe male squeeze. For the decomposition of the cohort aged 30, from 2010 to 2020 age structure will be dominant, while from 2020 through 2034 the contribution of age structure will gradually decrease and that of sex structure will increase. From then on, sex structure will be dominant. The index and decomposition, concentrated on a specific female birth cohort, can distinguish spousal competition for single cohorts which may be covered by a summary index for the whole marriage market; these can also be used for consecutive cohorts to reflect the situation of the whole marriage market.

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The Demographic Impact of a Female Deficit in China, 2000–2050

Cited by 38 publications

References 13 publications

Skewed Sex Ratios at Birth and Future Marriage Squeeze in China and India, 2005–2100

Skewed Sex Ratios at Birth and Future Marriage Squeeze in China and India, 2005–2100

The determinants of discrimination against daughters in China: Evidence from a provincial-level analysis

China’s Marriage Squeeze: A Decomposition into Age and Sex Structure

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