The development of 1901–2000 historical monthly climate models for Canada and the United States

McKenney, Daniel W.; Pedlar, John H.; Papadopol, Pia; Hutchinson, Michael F.

doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2006.03.012

Cited by 180 publications

(190 citation statements)

References 34 publications

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“…Inputs include select station data made available from various national climate centres that were interpolated as a function of latitude, longitude and elevation using thin-plate splines (New et al, 1999). Monthly temperature and precipitation using the ANUSPLIN technique exist for Canada and the United States at a resolution of 10 km (McKenney et al, 2006). The input data come from all available climate stations (1901 to 2005) from the National Climatic Data Center in the United States and the Meteorological Service of Canada.…”

Section: B Drought Indicesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Characterizing the Surface Features of the 1999–2005 Canadian Prairie Drought in Relation to Previous Severe Twentieth Century Events

et al. 2011

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The Canadian Prairie drought of 1999-2005 negatively affected several activities including agriculture, stream flow, hydro-electric production and forest fires. However, surface drought conditions and associated impacts were neither spatially nor temporally uniform. Following an assessment of several gridded temperature and precipitation datasets, this study incorporates the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) to characterize the surface features of the 1999-2005 Prairie drought in terms of its origin, spatial propagation, persistence and termination. This includes the development and application of a newly proposed multi-stage concept to characterize and classify drought. These characteristics are then compared to previous major Prairie droughts in the instrumental record.

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Section: B Drought Indicesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Characterizing the Surface Features of the 1999–2005 Canadian Prairie Drought in Relation to Previous Severe Twentieth Century Events

et al. 2011

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“…Historical climate station records of monthly mean daily maximum and minimum temperatures and monthly total precipitation were extracted from data covering Canada for the period 1901 to 2010, interpolated to a 10×10 km grid covering the area of Canada on the Lambert Conformal Conic map projection (e.g., McKenney et al 2006a. The spatial coverage of historical climate data for boreal Canada was relatively poor during the first half of the 20 th century ; therefore, only data for 1951 to 2010 were used for the present analysis.…”

Section: Historical Monthly Climate Data 1951 To 2010mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The four GCMs were the medium-resolution Coupled Global Climate Model version 3.1 (CGCM3.1) developed by the Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis (e.g., McFarlane et al 2005, Scinocca et al 2008; the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Mk3.5 climate model (CSIRO3.5) (e.g., Gordon et al 2010); the Japanese medium-resolution Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate, version 3.2 (MIROC3.2) (e.g., Nozawa et al 2007, Watanabe et al 2008; and the US National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Climate System Model, version 3.0 (NCAR CCSM3.0) (e.g., Gent et al 2011). The downscaling procedure combined the imprecise projections of change derived from each GCM with high-resolution mapping of observed climate data (e.g., McKenney et al 2006a), to allow more detailed assessment of localized changes.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Past and projected future changes in moisture conditions in the Canadian boreal forest

Wang

Hogg

Price

et al. 2014

The Forestry Chronicle

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Spatial data for the Climate Moisture Index and the Palmer Drought Severity Index were generated from gridded temperature and precipitation data for the Canadian boreal zone over the period . Annual values for the indices for 2011-2100 were generated from projections of future climate derived from four general circulation models forced by three greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. Linear regression models between the indices and time were fitted to examine long-term trends. Results indicated that several large regions of the Canadian boreal forest experienced substantial drying during 1951-2010. Future projections indicated a general trend toward drier conditions during the 21 st century. Overall, the analysis indicated more frequent and/or more severe droughts across managed western and central portions of the boreal forest in coming decades. These projections of indices are relevant to forest management because soil moisture availability is an important determinant of forest distribution, tree health, and regeneration success. Knowledge of the range of potential future changes in drought occurrence and intensity will aid forest managers and decisionmakers in incorporating climate change considerations into forest management planning and practices.

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“…The historical climate data are spatial interpolations of monthly minimums and maximums for temperature ( • C) and precipitation (mm) from 471 meteorological stations across Ontario, eastern Manitoba, and western Quebec, over the period 1901-2000 [32] updated with data from 2001 to 2003.…”

Section: Climate Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Ecoregional Patterns of Spruce Budworm—Wildfire Interactions in Central Canada’s Forests

Candau

Fleming

Wang

2018

Forests

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Wildfires and outbreaks of the spruce budworm, Choristoneura fumiferana (Clem.), are the two dominant natural disturbances in Canada's boreal forest. While both disturbances have specific impacts on forest ecosystems, it is increasingly recognized that their interactions also have the potential for non-linear behavior and long-lasting legacies on forest ecosystems' structures and functions. Previously, we showed that, in central Canada, fires occurred with a disproportionately higher frequency during a 'window of opportunity' following spruce budworm defoliation. In this study, we use Ontario's spatial databases for large fires and spruce budworm defoliation to locate where these two disturbances likely interacted. Classification tree and Random Forest procedures were then applied to find how spruce budworm defoliation history, climate, and forest conditions best predict the location of such budworm-fire interactions. Results indicate that such interactions likely occurred in areas geographically bound by hardwood content in the south, the prevalence of the three major spruce budworm host species (balsam fir, white spruce and black spruce) in the north, and climate moisture in the west. The occurrence of a spruce budworm-fire interaction inside these boundaries is related to the frequency of spruce budworm defoliation. These patterns provide a means of distinguishing regions where spruce budworm attacks are likely to increase fire risk.

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The development of 1901–2000 historical monthly climate models for Canada and the United States

Cited by 180 publications

References 34 publications

Characterizing the Surface Features of the 1999–2005 Canadian Prairie Drought in Relation to Previous Severe Twentieth Century Events

Characterizing the Surface Features of the 1999–2005 Canadian Prairie Drought in Relation to Previous Severe Twentieth Century Events

Past and projected future changes in moisture conditions in the Canadian boreal forest

Ecoregional Patterns of Spruce Budworm—Wildfire Interactions in Central Canada’s Forests

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