The distributional effect of the rice policy in Japan, 1986–2010

Takahashi, Daisuke

doi:10.1016/j.foodpol.2012.07.008

Cited by 11 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 10 publications

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“…Household consumption impacts within countries are also highly differentiated among income segments [ 43 ]. The countries that we find to be exposed to nutritional risks show a moderate degree of income inequality and the prevalence of poverty.…”

Section: Discussion and Policy Implicationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Short-Term Implications of Climate Shocks on Wheat-Based Nutrient Flows: A Global “Nutrition at Risk” Analysis through a Stochastic CGE Model

Tanaka

Geyik

Karapınar

2021

Foods

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Food security analyses of international trade largely overlook the importance of substantial heterogeneity and complexity of nutrient content in food products. This paper quantifies the extent to which wheat-based nutrient supplies, including energy, protein, iron, zinc, and magnesium, are exposed to the risks of realistic productivity and trade shocks. By employing a static and stochastic world trade computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, we find that productivity shocks may result in losses in households’ nutrient consumption of up to 18% for protein, 33.1% for zinc, and 37.4% for magnesium. Significant losses are observed in countries mostly in the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia. Since the main centers of wheat exports have recently been shifting to former Soviet Union countries, we also simulated the nutritional risks of export restrictions imposed by the Russian Federation, Ukraine, and Kazakhstan, which have resorted to this policy instrument in recent years. We find that partial export restrictions increase the probability of nutrient shocks by five times or more in most countries that we studied. Increased nutrient deficiencies have a range of public health implications in the affected countries, which could be mitigated and/or avoided by adjusting production and trade policies and by targeting high nutritional risk groups, such as women and children. Since the potential implications of supply shocks are diffused across countries through international trade, the stricter regulation of export restrictions to enhance the predictably and reliability of global food supplies is also needed.

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Section: Discussion and Policy Implicationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Short-Term Implications of Climate Shocks on Wheat-Based Nutrient Flows: A Global “Nutrition at Risk” Analysis through a Stochastic CGE Model

Tanaka

Geyik

Karapınar

2021

Foods

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“…Essentially, there are four reasons why agriculture is important. Namely [16][17][18] [19]; [20] : (i) developing modern agriculture, (ii) increasing farmers' incomes, (iii) improving rural conditions, (iv) reduce income inequality, (v) protect the producers and consumers, and (vi) keep food security. Agriculture policy is very important and needs different mechanisms in trade with the other sector.…”

Section: Agriculture Policies From Selective Countriesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The acreage control has been the principal policy measure for transferring income to producers, especially since the enforcement of the WTO Agreement on Agriculture. Acreage control is the policy measure with the lowest total efficiency and highest budgetary efficiency [19].…”

Section: Based On United States International Trade Commissionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…It is vital to examine the effect of the conventional acreage control policy and to intensify direct payment that encourages extensive production, such as decoupled direct payment, without depending on market price control. At the same time, it is also important to encourage structural reforms so that protectionist policies become unnecessary in the political-economic environment [19].…”

Section: Based On United States International Trade Commissionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The Impact of Agriculture Trade Liberalization on Farmers Income in Indonesia: Applying CGE Model

Yusida¹,

Santosa²,

Huang³

et al. 2021

Proceedings of the Conference on International Issues in Business and Economics Research (CIIBER 2019)

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Agriculture Trade Liberalization has been one of the crucial issues in Indonesia. It was indicated with increasing international trade, both export, and import. Indonesia as a country with an agriculture basis still has pro and contra about agriculture trade liberalization. The purpose of this research is to know the impact of agricultural trade liberalization (especially food crops commodities) on farmer income in Indonesia. This research used the Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model with the 2011 Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) Table as the data base. Simulate the impact of food crop imports. The results show that income in food crops import would decrease farmer income, while if an increase in food crops imports that followed by increasing export and production in non-agriculture products would increase farmer income.

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“…A partial equilibrium model not only has the same advantage in describing the price and market as a CGE model, but also can concentrate the research subjects in several key sectors we are especially concerned about. Partial equilibrium models have been used in many fields including energy security, tariffs, and demand for production factor inputs and climate changes (Tromborg, Bolkesjo, and Solberg 2007;Kamiński and KudeŁko 2010;Takahashi 2012). Partial equilibrium models are characterized by stronger operability compared with CGE models because of the reduced difficulty of data acquisition for the parameters.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Economic effects of drought on agriculture in North China

Lin

Deng

2013

Int J Disaster Risk Sci

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In the past three decades, global agriculture losses have continuously grown due to increasingly severe droughts. Compared with direct economic effects, there are great difficulties in evaluating the indirect economic effects of drought, which has severely lagged behind the urgent information needs for decision making. This study tries to solve the perplexity in the evaluation of the effects of drought on the price fluctuation of agricultural products by building a partial equilibrium model that describes the balancing process of supply and demand quantitatively. Using this model, a scenario analysis is applied to evaluate the price fluctuation of agricultural products caused by drought in North China. The results indicate that there is no major impact of drought on the market prices of eight major agricultural products. Even with the occurrence of a severe drought in North China, market prices of agricultural products will rise no more than 3.59 percent, which is less than the normal market price fluctuations of China's agricultural products. This study provides a tool for evaluating indirect economic effects of drought. The results of our case study could support decision making for China's food market regulation.

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The distributional effect of the rice policy in Japan, 1986–2010

Cited by 11 publications

References 10 publications

Short-Term Implications of Climate Shocks on Wheat-Based Nutrient Flows: A Global “Nutrition at Risk” Analysis through a Stochastic CGE Model

Short-Term Implications of Climate Shocks on Wheat-Based Nutrient Flows: A Global “Nutrition at Risk” Analysis through a Stochastic CGE Model

The Impact of Agriculture Trade Liberalization on Farmers Income in Indonesia: Applying CGE Model

Economic effects of drought on agriculture in North China

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