2014
DOI: 10.1126/science.1256739
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The early spread and epidemic ignition of HIV-1 in human populations

Abstract: Thirty years after the discovery of HIV-1, the early transmission, dissemination, and establishment of the virus in human populations remain unclear. Using statistical approaches applied to HIV-1 sequence data from central Africa, we show that from the 1920s Kinshasa (in what is now the Democratic Republic of Congo) was the focus of early transmission and the source of pre-1960 pandemic viruses elsewhere. Location and dating estimates were validated using the earliest HIV-1 archival sample, also from Kinshasa.… Show more

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Cited by 574 publications
(538 citation statements)
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References 84 publications
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“…The striking correlation between the presence of asp in nonpandemic groups and M subtypes and CRFs, and their prevalence, strongly supports the idea that ASP could play a role in spreading. This contradicts a common argument that the difference among HIV-1 groups in terms of prevalence and impact in human populations has no molecular basis, but is mostly due to social changes in ∼1960 in central Africa, where the group M was already well established (35).…”
Section: Resultscontrasting
confidence: 48%
“…The striking correlation between the presence of asp in nonpandemic groups and M subtypes and CRFs, and their prevalence, strongly supports the idea that ASP could play a role in spreading. This contradicts a common argument that the difference among HIV-1 groups in terms of prevalence and impact in human populations has no molecular basis, but is mostly due to social changes in ∼1960 in central Africa, where the group M was already well established (35).…”
Section: Resultscontrasting
confidence: 48%
“…The most recent common ancestors of HIV-1 groups M and O are both estimated to have existed around 1920 (46,47), whereas the lower levels of diversity seen in group N, and especially in group P, indicate that they emerged more recently. Coalescent studies suggest that groups O and M underwent similar rates of exponential growth until about 1960, and only since then has the spread of group M far outstripped the spread of group O (47).…”
Section: Sivgor Resulted From a Single Introduction Of Sivcpz From Symentioning
confidence: 95%
“…2b), one could speculate that wildlife or bats might be one of the sources from where human and porcine bufaviruses have emerged. However, current limited knowledge of bufaviruses is unable to reveal the emergence, speciation and spread among different hosts, which is in sharp contrast to the well-studied human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) where rich data have enabled scientists to reconstruct the very early spread and epidemic ignition in human populations (Faria et al, 2014). Finally, a high evolutionary rate of bufaviruses (1.6Â10 -3 substitutions per site per year) was determined, which is similar to that of the single-stranded DNA virus porcine circovirus 2 (Firth et al, 2009).…”
mentioning
confidence: 94%