The Higashi-Shikagoe limestone quarry is an open-pit mine situated in Hokkaido Prefecture, Japan, that has experienced four slope failure incidents since 1996. The rock slope behaviour has been monitored since the first failure event by measuring the rock slope surface displacement using an automated polar system. Recent measurements have revealed a gradual decrease of the distance between the beam generator and mirrors over time; however, the displacements and decrease rate differs between the centre and left- and right-hand sides of the quarry. This implies that the deformation characteristics of the rock slope and factors influencing the slope deformation differ at the centre and left- and right-hand sides of the quarry. In this study, the two-dimensional finite element method was used to identify the causes of slope deformation by investigating the effects of limestone excavation at the foot of the rock slope, the deterioration of a ∼70 m-thick clay layer at the rock slope foot wall, and shear failure owing to rainfall infiltration. The numerical results show that slope deformation on the left-hand side and centre of the quarry are induced by clay deterioration, whereas the right-hand side of the quarry is deformed owing to floor excavation and/or shear sliding. The rock slope is presently stable because the magnitude of the rate of displacement decrease is small and no acceleration is observed.