The Effect of Default Risk on Cash Flow Profitability Indicators: Analytical Research for a Sample of Iraqi Private Banks

Abstract

Focusing on the negative role of default risk on banks, as it is one of the most important risks facing banks, which are difficult to determine accurately, and its reflection on the indicators of profitability of cash flows. The increasing competition between banks led to an increase in the credit facilities granted by banks, and was accompanied by an increase in exposure to the risks of default, which led to an impact on the level of performance of banks in terms of achieving the required return according to the levels of high competition. Therefore, the problem of this study focused on the extent to which the risk indicators of default affect the profitability indicators of the cash flows of the banks research sample in the profitability indicators of cash flow on the sample banks. The research sample included (10) private Iraqi banks listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange for the period (2005-2015). A set of statistical methods were used to analyze, test and measure the data by statistical programs (Ordinary Least Squares) and (Static Panel Data Analysis). As for the results of the analysis, it showed that the default of lenders exposes banks to an important credit risk that may lead to bankruptcy in the event of inability to confront it.