Strategies for reducing antiretroviral doses and drug costs can support global access, and numerous options are being investigated. Efavirenz pharmacokinetic simulation data generated with a bottom-up physiologically based model were successfully compared with data obtained from the ENCORE (Exercise and Nutritional Interventions for Cardiovascular Health) I clinical trial (efavirenz at 400 mg once per day versus 600 mg once per day). These findings represent a pivotal paradigm for the prediction of pharmacokinetics resulting from dose reductions. Validated computational models constitute a valuable resource for optimizing therapeutic options and predicting complex clinical scenarios.
Global access to treatment would result in a more effective strategy against the HIV pandemic, but there are several challenges in terms of drug production and distribution. Antiretroviral dosing strategies have been selected to inhibit viral replication, but there is growing recognition that some antiretroviral drugs may be administered at doses above those required for efficacy. This may place a higher demand than necessary on medication budgets and manufacturing costs in resource-limited settings, where the need for these medications is greatest.Alternative strategies for lowering doses and drug costs could effectively support global access, and several reduction strategies are being investigated (1). A rational identification of optimal dose reductions is challenging and is commonly based on results from large clinical studies.Drug distribution can be quantitatively investigated through computational approaches using data from clinical studies to provide a top-down description and its variability in populations (i.e., population pharmacokinetic [popPK] modeling) or integrating drug-specific in vitro data in models to predict bottom-up pharmacokinetics (PK) in populations of virtual patients (i.e., physiologically based pharmacokinetic [PBPK] modeling). PBPK modeling is based on the mathematical representation of absorption, distribution, and elimination processes that define pharmacokinetics (2). Drug-specific factors (lipophilicity, apparent permeability, in vitro clearance, induction, and inhibition potential) and patient-specific factors (demographics, enzyme expression, organ volume, and blood flows) are integrated to provide a realistic description of pharmacokinetics (3)(4)(5). A virtual population of patients can be simulated by considering anatomical and physiological characteristics and their covariances.A pharmacokinetic assessment after administration of efavirenz (EFV) at 400 mg once daily (q.d.) versus 600 mg q.d. conducted as part of the ENCORE (Exercise and Nutritional Interventions for Cardiovascular Health) I study was recently published (6). Three years before this clinical analysis, we published a prediction about the 400-mg exposure of this drug that was made by using PBPK modeling (7).The purpose of this work is to exemplify the utility of PBPK modeling in exploring the pharmacokinetic consequences of dose r...