2020
DOI: 10.1017/s0022050720000303
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The Effect of War Risk on Managerial and Investor Behavior: Evidence from the Brussels Stock Exchange in the Pre-1914 Era

Abstract: With two news-based measures on war, I document that managers mitigated war risk through dividend cuts, arguably to establish a war chest. Moreover, I find that companies postponed their initial public offerings and that foreign companies were more likely to delist after the onset of wars. Investors reacted negatively to the increase in war news coverage. There is evidence of mean-reversion after a threat of war and a negative drift following the start of war. Finally, I highlight the importance of proximity t… Show more

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Cited by 35 publications
(14 citation statements)
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“…There is also some historical evidence on the different reactions of Investors to the war threat and the start of war. The stock prices of European market exhibit mean-reversion when the news on war threat increases and show a negative drift after the outbreak of war (Verdickt, 2020). So, the positive coefficient may show habituation learning in foreign investor's assessment about North Korea risk.…”
Section: Baseline Resultsmentioning
confidence: 97%
“…There is also some historical evidence on the different reactions of Investors to the war threat and the start of war. The stock prices of European market exhibit mean-reversion when the news on war threat increases and show a negative drift after the outbreak of war (Verdickt, 2020). So, the positive coefficient may show habituation learning in foreign investor's assessment about North Korea risk.…”
Section: Baseline Resultsmentioning
confidence: 97%
“…therefore likely shaped by other economic and political considerations. It is also possible that our war severity indicator is based on realized casualties, but a country's citizens respond more to war news and to expectations of damage (Verdickt (2020)). One may expect the number of fatalities caused by a disaster to be more important than the mere occurrence of a natural disaster.…”
Section: Severe Natural Disasters and Mortality Ratesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…These include Hudson and Urquhart (2015) research about the effects on the British Stock Market form World War Two; the effect of war on stock market oil prices; and the impact of war on stock market inflation (Kollias, et al 2013). Other examples include the influence on the Portuguese stock market from the Spanish civil war (Leitao et al, 2013); discrepancies over the effect of foreign conflicts on financial markets (Brune et al, 2015); and the effect of war on the Brussels Stock Exchange (Verdickt, 2020), Jha et al (2022) examined how the siege of Paris by the Prussian army in 1870 resulted in differentials in the bond market price of French sovereign bonds between Paris and other markets in their study on whether peace and war impact stock market movement.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%