The Effectiveness of Local Campaign Spending in the 1993 and 1997 Federal Elections in Canada

Eagles, Munroe

doi:10.1017/s0008423904040065

Cited by 20 publications

(30 citation statements)

References 25 publications

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“…Their control for incumbency effects demonstrates that incumbents gain an average of at least 9.46% of the vote share. Eagles (2004) finds incumbents gain an average of between −1.04% and 24.25% of the vote share, depending on the party and the particular election. Both of these works use data from only two recent federal elections and both estimate the impact of incumbency on vote share only as a control for the primary variable of interest, campaign spending.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Incumbency advantages in the Canadian Parliament

Kendall

Rekkas

2012

Canadian J of Economics

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We apply a regression discontinuity approach to determine incumbency advantages in the Canadian Parliament, finding that incumbents enjoy a 9.4-11.2% increased probability of winning over non-incumbents. Owing to the presence of multiple parties, an incumbency advantage in terms of vote share does not always translate to an increased probability of winning, because incumbents do not necessarily obtain votes from their closest opponent. Also, under the assumption that strategic exit is not an issue, we are able to split the incumbency advantage into party incumbency and individual candidate incumbency components, finding that the advantage is almost entirely due to the individual.Les avantages de l'élu en place dans lesélections au Parlement du Canada. On utilise une approche par la méthode de régression avec discontinuité pour déterminer les avantages qu'il y aàêtre l'élu en place dans lesélections au Parlement du Canada. On découvre que lesélus en place ont une probabilité de gagner de 9.4à 11.2% de plus que leurs adversaires. A cause de la présence de multiples partis politiques, l'avantage de l'élu en place en termes de proportion du vote ne se traduit pas toujours par une probabilité accrue de gagner parce que lesélus en place ne capturent pas nécessairement les votes de leur plus proche adversaire. De plus, en présumant qu'il ne s'agit pas de sortie stratégique, on peut départager l'avantage de l'élu en place en composantes correspondantà l'effet de parti et l'effet de l'individu. On découvre que l'avantage est presque complètement attribuableà l'individu.We would like to thank Kevin Milligan for his helpful comments and suggestions as well as the Library of Parliament for access to the data. SSHRC (Rekkas) support is gratefully acknowledged.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Incumbency advantages in the Canadian Parliament

Kendall

Rekkas

2012

Canadian J of Economics

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“…Even adding more controls, Eagles (1993, 2004) report that candidate spending is a major determinant of electoral outcomes at the local level in the elections of 1984, 1988, 1993 and 1997. For example, the outcome of the 1988 Canadian election would have been different in 35 constituencies if all major parties had spent their allowable limit of money.…”

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confidence: 99%

What do voters do when they like a local candidate from another party?

Blais

Daoust

2017

Can J Pol Sci

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We address two questions: How many voters particularly like a candidate from another party? And do these voters vote for their preferred party or their preferred candidate? We use the Making Electoral Democracy Work data for the 2015 Canadian federal election in three provinces (British Columbia, Ontario and Quebec). We find that one voter out of ten particularly liked a candidate from a party other than the one he or she preferred. For two out of five of such voters, the preference for the local candidate trumped the party preference.

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“…As Table 2 indicates, having been parachuted in the past into a riding leads to nearly an 18 percentage point increase in a candidate's vote share. This is increase is about the same that which comes from incumbency status and, given the importance of incumbency in Canadian elections (Eagles, 2004), this is a substantial boost. Star candidates also tend fare better than others, with an increase in vote share of approximately 6 percentage points.…”

Section: Parachuted Into Parliament 441mentioning

confidence: 86%

Parachuted into Parliament: Candidate Nomination, Appointed Candidates, and Legislative Roles in Canada

Koop

Bittner

2011

Journal of Elections, Public Opinion & Parties

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Does a candidate's pathway to parliament affect subsequent legislative roles and behavior? Party candidate nomination processes in Canada are very decentralized, with responsibility for candidate selection allocated to the local constituency associations. However, candidates may also secure a nomination by being "parachuted" into a constituency: appointed by the party leader as the candidate who will stand for the party in the general election. This practice is most common in the Liberal Party of Canada, and as such we study this party's candidates in the six most recent elections (between 1993 and 2008) in order to explore both (a) the characteristics of parachuted and locally nominated MPs; and (b) the legislative consequences of parachuting candidates into constituencies. We find that party leaders are using the power of appointment to recruit both star candidates and women into the House of Commons, but that appointed candidates from each of these groups serve very different roles in Parliament. We find a strong link between nomination method and subsequent legislative roles and activities: parachuted candidates are much more likely to serve in high-profile legislative positions while locally nominated candidates are more likely to engage in low-profile legislative activities. The process by which candidates come to stand for election, we argue, directly affects the nature of representation by Members of Parliament in the legislature, and has implications for the study of candidate nomination and legislative roles in parties in other democracies.The methods used to nominate candidates are important indicators of the distribution of power within political parties. As Schattschneider (1942: 101) argues, "the nominating process has become the crucial process of the party. He who can make the nominations is the owner of the party." From a comparative perspective, the candidate nomination processes of Canadian parties are very decentralized, with party constituency associations allowing local members to select prospective candidates (Rahat, 2007: 163). While the local nomination race is normal practice, there is an alternate path to Parliament for MPs: appointment to the party nomination by the

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The Effectiveness of Local Campaign Spending in the 1993 and 1997 Federal Elections in Canada

Cited by 20 publications

References 25 publications

Incumbency advantages in the Canadian Parliament

Incumbency advantages in the Canadian Parliament

What do voters do when they like a local candidate from another party?

Parachuted into Parliament: Candidate Nomination, Appointed Candidates, and Legislative Roles in Canada

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